Abstract
Population projections are today mostly based on the so-called ‘cohort component method’. This method was developed in the 1930s and 1940s and has not been substantially changed since then. It allows for the projection of populations by age and sex. For this purpose, the population that should be projected is subdivided by sex and into age groups of equal size. The age groups can cover 5 or 10 ages, but also projections of single-year age groups are possible. Such a single-year disaggregation will be used in this study. Only the oldest male and female age groups are of a bigger size as they are open-ended, i.e. they include all persons aged 95 and older. Each of the age- and sex-specific subgroups of the population is separately projected into the future.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Sánchez Gassen, N. (2015). Methods, data and software. In: Germany’s future electors. Springer VS, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-06942-1_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-06942-1_4
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer VS, Wiesbaden
Print ISBN: 978-3-658-06941-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-658-06942-1
eBook Packages: Humanities, Social Sciences and LawPolitical Science and International Studies (R0)