Zusammenfassung
Modelle ökonomischen Wählens rekurrieren auf zwei Elemente: die Evaluation ökonomischer Verhältnisse und die Zuschreibung von Verantwortlichkeit. So wird eine demokratietheoretisch wichtige Kontrollfunktion ermöglicht; bei schlechter Lage und perzipierter Regierungsverantwortung wird eine Stimme für die Regierung unwahrscheinlicher. In letzter Zeit finden sich vermehrt Studien, die einen Bias bei der Evaluation und teilweise auch bei der Zuschreibung von Verantwortlichkeit nachweisen.
Unser Beitrag transferiert diese Beobachtungen in den Kontext der EU. Die Ergebnisse dieser vergleichenden Analyse bestätigen, dass sowohl Parteineigungen zugunsten der Regierung als auch Einstellungen gegenüber der EU die Verantwortungszuschreibung, konditional zur wirtschaftlichen Lage, verzerren. Die demokratietheoretische Relevanz des Ansatzes ist somit stark beeinträchtigt.
Abstract
Two elements constitute economic voting models: the evaluation of economic conditions and responsibility. This enables an important control mechanism rooted in democratic theory. The combination of bad conditions and perceived accountability decreases the likelihood that votes will be cast for the incumbent. Recent studies have shown that these evaluations are biased; some studies state similar findings with regard to accountability.
Our contribution applies these observations to the EU context. Results of this comparative analysis confirm that both party identification in favour of the incumbent and positive attitudes towards the EU distort accountability. The degree of distortion depends on economic conditions. Thus the relevance of the approach in the context of democratic theory is strongly impaired.
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Wagner, A., Giebler, H. (2014). It’s the responsibility, stupid!. In: Steinbrecher, M., Bytzek, E., Rosar, U., Roßteutscher, S. (eds) Europa, europäische Integration und Eurokrise. Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft Comparative Governance and Politics. Springer VS, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-05382-6_7
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