Abstract
It is a common occurrence in empirical work that some time series are available on a monthly basis, some quarterly, and some only on an annual basis, and one wishes to construct a higher-frequency series from a low-frequency one (say quarterly from annual) given information on related time series that are available at a higher frequency. Two examples of this are: (1) stock variables like plant and equipment, information on which may be available only at particular times of the year (say the first quarter); and (2) flow variables such as national income or price level, which may be available only for the entire year. In the case of a stock variable, one would want the interpolated series to agree with the actual series at the point in time when information on the latter is available. In the case of a flow variable, one would want the sum (or average, as the case may be) of the interpolated (say quarterly) series to agree with the the actual annual series.
Work supported by NSF grant SES86–07652. Section 2.2 of this paper builds on some earlier formulations by Andreas Hornstein. We wish to thank Professor Michael Powell for furnishing us with the source code for his nonlinear-programming algorithm (Powell, 1989), and Wayne Fuller, Baldev Raj, and Thomas Url for stimulating comments.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Akhiezer, N. I. (1962): “The Calculus of Variations.” New York: Blaisdell Publishing Company.
Chipman, John S. (1964): “On Least Squares with Insufficient Observations,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 59 (December): 1078–1111.
Chow, Gregory C. and An-loh Lin (1971): “Best Linear Unbiased Interpolation, Distribution, and Extrapolation of Time Series by Related Series,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 53 (November): 372–375.
Doob, J. L. (1953): “Stochastic Processes.” New York: Wiley.
Fernández, Roque B. (1981): “A Methodological Note on the Estimation of Time Series,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 63 (August): 471–476.
Fisher, Sir Ronald A. (1958): “Statistical Methods for Research Workers.” 13th edition. New York: Hafner Publishing Company, Inc.
Foster, Manus (1961): “An Application of the Wiener-Kolmogorov Smoothing Theory to Matrix Inversion,” Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 9: 387–392.
Friedman, Milton (1962): “The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 57 (December): 729–757.
Goldfarb, D. and A. Idnani (1983): “A Numerically Stable Dual Method for Solving Strictly Convex Quadratic Programs.” Mathematical Programming, 27: 1–33.
Haitovsky, Yoel (1973): “Regression Estimation from Grouped Observations.” London: Griffin.
Harvey, A. C. and R. G. Pierse (1984): “Estimating Missing Observations in Economic Time-Series Analysis.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 79 (March): 125–131.
Hillmer, Steven C. and Abdelwahed Trabelsi (1987): “Benchmarking of Economic Time Series.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82 (December): 1064–1071.
Kravis, Irving and Robert E. Lipsey (1974): “International Trade Prices and Price Proxies.” In: Nancy D. Ruggles (ed.), The Role of the Computer in Economic and Social Research in Latin America. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, pp. 253–268.
Kruskal, William (1968): “When are Gauss-Markov and Least Squares Estimators Identical? A Coordinate-Free Approach.” Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39 (February): 70–75.
Litterman, Robert B. (1981): “A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Interpolation of Time Series.” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Research Department Working Paper, December.
Powell, M. J. D. (1983a): “On the Quadratic Programming Algorithm of Goldfarb and Idnani.” DAMTP Report NA19, Cambridge, England.
Powell, M. J. D. (1983b): “ZQPCVX: A FORTRAN Subroutine for Convex Quadratic Programming,” DAMTP Report NA17, Cambridge, England.
Powell, M. J. D. (1989): “TOLMIN: A Fortran Package for Linearly Constrained Optimization Calculations,” DAMTP Report 1989/NA2, University of Cambridge.
Prais, S. J. and J. Aitchison (1953): “The Grouping of Observations in Regression Analysis.” Revue de l’Institut International de Statistique, 22: 1–22.
Whittaker, Edmund and G. Robinson (1924): “The Calculus of Observations.” London and Glasgow: Blackie & Sons Limited.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1995 Physica-Verlag Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Chipman, J.S., Lapham, B.J. (1995). Interpolation of Economic Time Series, with Application to German and Swedish Data. In: Url, T., Wörgötter, A. (eds) Econometrics of Short and Unreliable Time Series. Studies in Empirical Economics. Physica-Verlag HD. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-99782-2_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-99782-2_6
Publisher Name: Physica-Verlag HD
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-99784-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-99782-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive