Skip to main content

Interpolation of Economic Time Series, with Application to German and Swedish Data

  • Conference paper
Econometrics of Short and Unreliable Time Series

Part of the book series: Studies in Empirical Economics ((STUDEMP))

  • 143 Accesses

Abstract

It is a common occurrence in empirical work that some time series are available on a monthly basis, some quarterly, and some only on an annual basis, and one wishes to construct a higher-frequency series from a low-frequency one (say quarterly from annual) given information on related time series that are available at a higher frequency. Two examples of this are: (1) stock variables like plant and equipment, information on which may be available only at particular times of the year (say the first quarter); and (2) flow variables such as national income or price level, which may be available only for the entire year. In the case of a stock variable, one would want the interpolated series to agree with the actual series at the point in time when information on the latter is available. In the case of a flow variable, one would want the sum (or average, as the case may be) of the interpolated (say quarterly) series to agree with the the actual annual series.

Work supported by NSF grant SES86–07652. Section 2.2 of this paper builds on some earlier formulations by Andreas Hornstein. We wish to thank Professor Michael Powell for furnishing us with the source code for his nonlinear-programming algorithm (Powell, 1989), and Wayne Fuller, Baldev Raj, and Thomas Url for stimulating comments.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Akhiezer, N. I. (1962): “The Calculus of Variations.” New York: Blaisdell Publishing Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, John S. (1964): “On Least Squares with Insufficient Observations,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 59 (December): 1078–1111.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chow, Gregory C. and An-loh Lin (1971): “Best Linear Unbiased Interpolation, Distribution, and Extrapolation of Time Series by Related Series,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 53 (November): 372–375.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Doob, J. L. (1953): “Stochastic Processes.” New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fernández, Roque B. (1981): “A Methodological Note on the Estimation of Time Series,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 63 (August): 471–476.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fisher, Sir Ronald A. (1958): “Statistical Methods for Research Workers.” 13th edition. New York: Hafner Publishing Company, Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster, Manus (1961): “An Application of the Wiener-Kolmogorov Smoothing Theory to Matrix Inversion,” Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 9: 387–392.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Friedman, Milton (1962): “The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 57 (December): 729–757.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goldfarb, D. and A. Idnani (1983): “A Numerically Stable Dual Method for Solving Strictly Convex Quadratic Programs.” Mathematical Programming, 27: 1–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haitovsky, Yoel (1973): “Regression Estimation from Grouped Observations.” London: Griffin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harvey, A. C. and R. G. Pierse (1984): “Estimating Missing Observations in Economic Time-Series Analysis.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 79 (March): 125–131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hillmer, Steven C. and Abdelwahed Trabelsi (1987): “Benchmarking of Economic Time Series.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82 (December): 1064–1071.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kravis, Irving and Robert E. Lipsey (1974): “International Trade Prices and Price Proxies.” In: Nancy D. Ruggles (ed.), The Role of the Computer in Economic and Social Research in Latin America. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, pp. 253–268.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kruskal, William (1968): “When are Gauss-Markov and Least Squares Estimators Identical? A Coordinate-Free Approach.” Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39 (February): 70–75.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Litterman, Robert B. (1981): “A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Interpolation of Time Series.” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Research Department Working Paper, December.

    Google Scholar 

  • Powell, M. J. D. (1983a): “On the Quadratic Programming Algorithm of Goldfarb and Idnani.” DAMTP Report NA19, Cambridge, England.

    Google Scholar 

  • Powell, M. J. D. (1983b): “ZQPCVX: A FORTRAN Subroutine for Convex Quadratic Programming,” DAMTP Report NA17, Cambridge, England.

    Google Scholar 

  • Powell, M. J. D. (1989): “TOLMIN: A Fortran Package for Linearly Constrained Optimization Calculations,” DAMTP Report 1989/NA2, University of Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prais, S. J. and J. Aitchison (1953): “The Grouping of Observations in Regression Analysis.” Revue de l’Institut International de Statistique, 22: 1–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Whittaker, Edmund and G. Robinson (1924): “The Calculus of Observations.” London and Glasgow: Blackie & Sons Limited.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1995 Physica-Verlag Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Chipman, J.S., Lapham, B.J. (1995). Interpolation of Economic Time Series, with Application to German and Swedish Data. In: Url, T., Wörgötter, A. (eds) Econometrics of Short and Unreliable Time Series. Studies in Empirical Economics. Physica-Verlag HD. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-99782-2_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-99782-2_6

  • Publisher Name: Physica-Verlag HD

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-99784-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-99782-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics