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The Impact of Predictive Information on Guidance Efficiency: An Analytical Approach

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Advanced Methods in Transportation Analysis

Part of the book series: Transportation Analysis ((TRANSANALY))

Abstract

The acceptance of route guidance advice by motorists is expected, to occur only whenever such advice is experienced to be valid and reliable. Three major factors may cause route guidance systems to provide motorists with unreliable advice:

  1. (1)

    the traffic information constituting the basis for guidance advice is inaccurate;

  2. (2)

    the impact of a large fraction of motorists responding to the guidance, and the subsequent overreaction that occurs, is ignored whenever the guidance advice is being set; and,

  3. (3)

    concentration effects may occur and induce a higher level of (unpriced) congestion when drivers are provided with better information.

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References

  1. Arnott, R., A. de Palma, and R. Lindsey (1994) “Dynamic Model of Peak Period Congestion with Heterogeneous Commuters”, Journal of Transportation Economics and Policy, forthcoming.

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  2. Ben-Akiva, M., A. de Palma, and I. Kaysi (1991) “Dynamic Network Models and Driver Information Systems”, Transportation Research Vol. 25A, No.5.

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  3. Bonsall, P.W. and A.D. May (1989) “Evaluation of In-Vehicle Route Guidance Systems”, paper presented at the 5th WCTR Yokohama, Japan.

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  4. Kaysi, I. (1991) “Framework and Models for the Provision of Real- Time Driver Information”, Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Civil Engineering, MIT November 1991.

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  5. Kaysi, I., M. Ben-Akiva, and H. Koutsopoulos (1993) “An Integrated Approach to Vehicle Routing and Congestion Prediction for Real-Time Driver Guidance”, Transportation Research Record, No. 1408.

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  6. Kaysi, I., M. Ben-Akiva, and A. de Palma (1994) “Design Aspects of Advanced Traveler Information Systems”, Compendium of Papers 1992 Capri Seminar on Urban Traffic Networks.

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© 1996 Springer-Verlag Berlin. · Heidelberg

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Ben-Akiva, M., de Palma, A., Kaysi, I. (1996). The Impact of Predictive Information on Guidance Efficiency: An Analytical Approach. In: Bianco, L., Toth, P. (eds) Advanced Methods in Transportation Analysis. Transportation Analysis. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-85256-5_19

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-85256-5_19

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-85258-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-85256-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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