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An Analytic Method to Estimate Uncertainty in a Risk Function

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Reliability Data Collection and Use in Risk and Availability Assessment
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Abstract

This paper presents a method for estimating the uncertainty in a probabilistic risk analysis. Based on the estimation of probability intervals of some basic parameters of a risk function, the method estimates a probability interval for the risk function. An example of risk analysis of releases of flammable materials is shown.

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References

  • S. Kaplan and B.J. Garrick: On the Quantitative Definition of Risk, Risk Analysis, volume 1, no. 1, 1981.

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  • U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission: Reactor Safety Study: An Assessment of Accident Risks in U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power plants, WASH-1400, 1975.

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  • G. Apostolakis and S. Kaplan: Pitfalls in Risk Calculations, Reliability Engineering, 2, 1981.

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© 1989 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Kortner, H. (1989). An Analytic Method to Estimate Uncertainty in a Risk Function. In: Colombari, V. (eds) Reliability Data Collection and Use in Risk and Availability Assessment. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-83721-0_16

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-83721-0_16

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-83723-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-83721-0

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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