Pollution Problems and the Application of Models for Management

  • M. B. Beck
Part of the Lecture Notes in Engineering book series (LNENG, volume 11)


It is all very well for the purist to talk in rigorous scientific terms about uncertainty and the limits to the predictive capabilities of current water quality models. But he who has little confidence in the predictions of his model may jeopardize his case in providing advice for the resolution of issues of management. Does it not merely confuse the issues to give advice couched in the hesitancy of uncertainty? Perhaps in this instance the distinction of the two trains of development in modeling and management and the smoothing effects of their delayed interactions work to the advantage of modeling. In spite of uncertainty, broad strategies for action do emerge; indeed, there are those who would argue that these strategies are all the more robust and adaptable for having considered uncertainty (Honing, 1978).


Water Quality Water Quality Management Water Quality Modeling European Economic Community Toxic Problem 
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Copyright information

© International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg/Austria 1985

Authors and Affiliations

  • M. B. Beck
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Civil EngineeringImperial CollegeLondonUK

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