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Diagnostic and Prognostic Decision-Making Systems: A Survey of Recent Developments in the United States

  • Conference paper
Book cover Der Beitrag der Informationsverarbeitung zum Fortschritt der Medizin

Part of the book series: Medizinische Informatik und Statistik ((MEDINFO,volume 50))

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Abstract

Over a decade ago, D. J.CROFT [1] wrote a review article, asking ‘Is Computerized Diagnosis Possible?’. His sentiments were echoed in a 1977 editorial by R.B. FRIEDMAN and D.H. GUSTAFSON [2] stating: ‘Successful applications in many other areas have been reported but the overall impact of computers on health care delivery has been less than was expected as recently as 5 years ago’. There are still no major successes to report in the realm of computerized diagnosis, but progress has been made. Two ‘second-generation’ artificial intelligence programs for medical diagnosis — ABEL and CADUCEUS — are reviewed below. Both are in the early stages of development. At this time, the prognosis for computerization remains unclear.

By contrast, two successful programs for computer-generated patient prognosis have been used regulary in a clinical setting. Both — ARAMIS and the Duke Cardiovascular Disease Databank — have assisted physicians in the management of individual patients, and resulted in useful general observations that have been published in the medical literature. A comparison between programs for patient prognosis and programs for medical diagnosis is made in this paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Decision Systems Laboratory, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburg, Pittsburg, Penna., USA

    R. A. Miller

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  1. R. A. Miller
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Institut für Dokumentation, Information und Statistik, Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum, Im Neuenheimer Feld 280, 6900, Heidelberg, Deutschland

    C. O. Köhler , P. Tautu , G. Wagner  & K. Schlaefer , ,  & 

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© 1984 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Miller, R.A. (1984). Diagnostic and Prognostic Decision-Making Systems: A Survey of Recent Developments in the United States. In: Köhler, C.O., Tautu, P., Wagner, G., Schlaefer, K. (eds) Der Beitrag der Informationsverarbeitung zum Fortschritt der Medizin. Medizinische Informatik und Statistik, vol 50. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-82158-5_3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-82158-5_3

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-12912-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-82158-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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