Skip to main content

Tax reform, population ageing and the changing labour supply behaviour of married women

  • Conference paper
  • 55 Accesses

Part of the book series: Population Economics ((POPULATION))

Abstract

The burden of financing retirement incomes in an ageing population is predicted to rise sharply in future decades. This paper investigates the effects of reforms to the Australian tax-benefit system involving a greater reliance on proportional taxation for raising revenue and a more targeted welfare system for cutting government expenditure, in order to reduce expected budget deficits. Estimates of changes in net incomes and hours of work suggest that reforms of this kind shift the tax burden to lower and middle income households with a second earner and that they can have counter-productive labour supply effects. The study explores the impact of projected increases in female work force participation and illustrates the importance of shifts in the labour supply of married women in predicting the fiscal effects of demographic change.

I wish to thank the discussants of this paper, Sijbren Cnossen and Hiromitsu Ishi, for their detailed and constructive comments which have been most helpful in revising the paper. Thanks are also due to John Buchanan, Glenn Jones, John McCallum and Elizabeth Savage for their comments and suggestions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • ABS (1987) Estimated resident population by sex and age: states and territories of Australia, June 1981 to June 1987, Cat No 3201.0, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • ABS (1988) Projections of the populations of Australia, states and territories 1987 to 2031, Cat No 32220, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • ABS (1990) 1988 Labour statistics, Australia Cat No 6101.0, Canberra Anderson M, Ross B (1987) Labour force projections and tables of working life. Paper presented at the Conference of Economists, Australia.

    Google Scholar 

  • Apps PF (1988) Modelling household labour supply and the welfare effects of tax reforms. Working papers in Economics and Econometrics, WP No 175. ANU, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Apps PF (1989a) Welfare options under less progressive tax rates. Aust Econ Rev 4th Quarter:52-65.

    Google Scholar 

  • Apps PF (1989b) A comparative analysis of income tax and transfer options. In: Head JG (ed) Australian tax reform in retrospect and prospect. Australian Tax Research Foundation, Sydney, pp 249-271.

    Google Scholar 

  • Apps PF (1990) Tax-transfer options: A critique of joint income and flat rate proposals. In: Head JG, Krever RE (eds) Flattening the tax rate scale: Alternative scenarios and methodologies. Longman Professional, Melbourne, pp 211-235.

    Google Scholar 

  • Apps PF, Savage EJ (1989) Labour supply, welfare rankings and the measurement of inequality. J Publ Econ 39:335–364.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blundell RW, Meghir C, Symons E, Walker I (1986) A labour supply model for the simulation of tax and benefit reforms. In: Blundell RW, Walker I (eds) Unemployment, search and labour supply. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 267–293.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blundell RW, Meghir C, Symons E, Walker I (1988) Labour supply specification and the evaluation of tax reforms. J Publ Econ 36:23–52.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burtless G, Haveman R (1987) Taxes, transfers and economic distortions: Evaluating the new views. Brookings General Series, Reprint 424. The Brookings Institution, Washington.

    Google Scholar 

  • Commissioner of Taxation (1986) Annual Report 1985–1986, AGPS, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Commonwealth of Australia (1986) Budget Statements 1986–1987, Budget Paper No 1.

    Google Scholar 

  • Commonwealth of Australia (1990) Budget Statements 1990–1991, Budget Paper No 1.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deaton A, Muellbauer J (1980) An almost ideal demand system. Am Econ Rev 70:312–326.

    Google Scholar 

  • Economic Planning Advisory Council (EPAC) (1989) Australian retirement income policy towards 2000. Discussion Paper No 89/04, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster C (1988) Towards a national retirement incomes policy. Social Security Review. Department of Social Security, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freebairn J, Porter M, Walsh C (1987) Spending and taxing: Australian reform options. Allen & Unwin, Sydney.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gustman AL, Steinmeier TL (1989) Changing the social security rules for workers over 65: Proposed policies and their effects. WP No 3087, NBER.

    Google Scholar 

  • Haveman R, Wolfe B, Warlick J (1988) Labour market behavior of older men. J Publ Econ 36:153–175.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hurd MD (1989) Issues and results from research on the elderly II: Retirement. WP No 3018, NBER.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones G (1990) Welfare analysis of income tax reforms. In: Head JG, Krever RE (eds) Flattening the tax rate scale: Alternative scenarios and methodologies. Longman Professional, Melbourne, pp 237–249.

    Google Scholar 

  • Symons E, Walker I (1990) Tax reforms analysis: The effects of a proportional tax system. In: Head JG, Krever RE (eds) Flattening the tax rate scale: Alternative scenarios and methodologies. Longman Professional, Melbourne, pp 251–265.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zabalza A, Arrufat JL (1988) Efficiency and equity effects of reforming the British system of direct taxation: a utility-based simulation methodology. Economica: 55:21–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1992 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Apps, P. (1992). Tax reform, population ageing and the changing labour supply behaviour of married women. In: Bös, D., Cnossen, S. (eds) Fiscal Implications of an Aging Population. Population Economics. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-77250-4_7

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-77250-4_7

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-77252-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-77250-4

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics