Skip to main content

Is Rheumatoid Arthritis a Disappearing Disease?

  • Conference paper
Rheumatoid Arthritis

Abstract

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is not a new disease and has been described in historical writings and portrayed in paintings probably for at least 1000 years. Compared to osteoarthritis, however, paleopathological evidence from skeletal remains of its early existence is difficult to obtain. It was hypothesized over 10 years ago [1] that RA, commonly agreed to be triggered by a virus, could behave like other major chronic infectious diseases, many of which showed large temporal swings in epidemicity. Further, following the example of other diseases, it was suggested that there was an epidemic of RA in the middle of this century and that it will ultimately disappear perhaps by the end of the next century. Such ideas have subsequently been fuelled by anecdotal reports, and it is of interest to evaluate the available data to support or refute the hypothesis that RA is either declining in incidence or severity and to consider possible explanations. If the hypothesis of a recent decline is true, then, in addition to its relevance to those planning health services, such a reduction might suggest new avenues of etiologic inquiry or provide insight into the effectiveness of current approaches to disease management.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Buchanan WW, Murdoch RM (1979) Hypothesis: that rheumatoid arthritis will disappear. J Rheumatol 6:324–329

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Aho K, Palosuo T, Raunio V, Puska P, Aromaa A, Salonen T (1985) When does rheumatoid disease start? Arthritis Rheum 28(5): 485–489

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. Linos A, Worthington JW, O’Fallon WM, Kurland LT (1980) The epidemiology of rheumatoid in Rochester, Minnesota: a study of incidence, prevalence and mortality. Am J Epidemiol 111:87–98

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Ropes MW, Bennett GA, Cobb S et al (1957) Proposed diagnostic criteria for rheumatoid arthritis. Ann Rheum Dis 16:118–123

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. Arnett FC, Edworthy SM, Bloch DA et al (1988) The American Rheumatism Association 1987 revised criteria for the classification of rheumatoid arthritis. Arthritis Rheum 31 (3): 315–323

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Goddard DH, Butler R (1989) Rheumatoid arthiritis: the treatment controversy. MacMillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  7. Bennett PH, Wood PHN (1968) Population studies of the rheumatic diseases. Excerpta Medica, Amsterdam, pp 477–478

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kellgren JH, Jeffrey MR, Ball J (1963) The epidemiology of chronic rheumatism, vol I. Blackwell, Oxford pp 324–327

    Google Scholar 

  9. Dugowson CE, Nelson JL, Koepsell TD, Daling JR (1989) Evaluation of the 1988 criteria for rheumatoid arthritis: application to a newly diagnosed cohort. Arthritis Rheum 22 (suppl):B79

    Google Scholar 

  10. Lawrence JS (1977) Rheumatism in Populations. Heinemann, London

    Google Scholar 

  11. Dugowson CE, Bley L, Koepsell TD, Nelson JL, Daling JR (1989) Incidence of rheumatoid arthritis in women. Arthritis Rheum 22 (suppl):A83

    Google Scholar 

  12. Silman AJ, Davies P, Currey HLF, Evans SJW (1983) Is rheumatoid arthritis becoming less severe? J Chronic Dis 36:891–897

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. Royal College of General Practitioners. Weekly returns of selected diagnoses 1976–1987. RCGP Research Unit, Birmingham, UK

    Google Scholar 

  14. Silman AJ (1988) Has the incidence of rheumatoid arthritis declined in the United Kingdom? Br J Rheumatol 27:77–79

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  15. Royal College of General Practitioners, Office of Population, Census and Surveys. Department of Health and Social Security (1979) Morbidity statistics from general practice: the 2nd national morbidity survey 1971/72. HMSO London

    Google Scholar 

  16. Royal College of General Practitioners, Office of Population, Census and Surveys. Department of Health and Social Security (1987) Morbidity statistics from general practice: the 3rd national morbidity survey 1981/82. HMSO London

    Google Scholar 

  17. Isomaki HA (1989) Rheumatoid arthritis as seen from official data registers. Experience in Finland. Scand J Rheumatol 79 (suppl):21–24

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  18. Behrend T, Lawrence JS, Behrend, H, Koch R (1972) Eine longitudinale Studie in Hinblick auf rheumatische Erkrankungen in der ländlichen Bevölkerung von Oberhörlen in Hessen. Z Rheumaforsch 31:153

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  19. Ball J, Lawrence JS (1961) Epidemiology of the sheep cell agglutination test. Ann Rheum Dis 20:235

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  20. Valkenburg HA, Hijmans W, Klein F (1968) Rheumatoid factor in patients suffering from chronic infectious diseases living in various temperate and non-temperate areas. In: Bennett PH, Wood PHN (eds) Population studies of rheumatic diseases. Exerpta Medica, Amsterdam p 181

    Google Scholar 

  21. Aho K, Tuomi T, Palosuo T, Kaarela K, Von Essen R, Isomaki H (1989) Is seropositive rheumatoid arthritis becoming less severe? Clin Exp Rheumatol 7:287–290

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  22. Laurent R, Robinson RG, Beller EM, Buchanan WW (1989) Incidence and severity of rheumatoid arthritis — the view from Australia. Brit J Rheum 28:360–361

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  23. Lindahl BIB (1985) In what sense is rheumatoid arthritis the principal cause of death? J Chronic Dis 38:963–72

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  24. Wicks IP, Moore J, Fleming A (1988) Australian mortality statistics for rheumatoid arthritis 1950–81: analysis of death certificate data. Ann Rheum Dis 47:563–569

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Aho K, Kirpila J, Wager O (1959) The persistance of the agglutination activating factor (AAF) in the circulation. A nine year study of twenty seven patients. Ann Med Exp Fenn 37:377–381

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  26. Vandenbroucke JP, Valkenburg HA, Boersma HA et al (1982) Oral contraceptives and rheumatoid arthritis: further evidence for a preventive effect. Lancet 2:839–842

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  27. Wingrave SJ, Kay CR (1978) Reduction in incidence of rheumatoid arthritis associated with oral contraceptives. Lancet 1:569–571

    Google Scholar 

  28. Linos A, Worthington JW, O’Fallon WM, Kurland LT (1983) Case-control study of rheumatoid arthritis and prior use of oral contraceptives. Lancet 1:1299–1300

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  29. Del Junco DJ, Annegers JF, Luthtra HS, Coulam CB, Kurland LT (1985) Do oral contraceptives prevent rheumatoid arthritis? JAMA 254:1938–1941

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  30. Vandenbroucke JP, Witteman JCM, Valkenburg HA et al. (1986) Non-contraceptive hormones and rheumatoid arthritis in perimenopausal and postmenopausal women. JAMA 255:1299–1303

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  31. Hazes JMW, Dijkmans BAC, Vandenbroucke JP, De Vries RRP, Cats A (1990) Reduction of the risk of rheumatoid arthritis among women who take oral contraceptives. Arthritis Rheum 33:173–179

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  32. Spector TD, Roman E, Silman AJ (1990) The pill, parity and rheumatoid arthritis. Arthritis Rheum 33:782–789

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  33. Hazes JMW, Silman AJ, Brand R, Spector TD, Walker DJ, Vandenbroucke JP (1990) Influence of oral contraception on the occurrence of rheumatoid arthritis in female sibs. Scand J Rheumatol 19:306–310

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  34. Silman AJ, Vandenbroucke JP (1989) Female sex hormones and rheumatoid arthritis. Brit J Rheumatol 28 (suppl 1): 1–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Silman AJ (1989) Rheumatoid arthritis and infection: a population approach. Ann Rheum Dis 48:707–710

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1992 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Silman, A.J. (1992). Is Rheumatoid Arthritis a Disappearing Disease?. In: Smolen, J.S., Kalden, J.R., Maini, R.N. (eds) Rheumatoid Arthritis. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-76189-8_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-76189-8_1

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-76191-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-76189-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics