Abstract
Chapter III asks whether foreign direct investment (FDI) is a substitute or complement for international trade, since both possibilities are modelled in the theory of multinational firms. A gravity model estimates the cumulative effect for a sample of 63 countries and suggests that FDI inflows reduce overall trade and in some cases deteriorate the trade balance. Three channels are identified in case studies of Spain, Mexico, and Thailand but need to be quantified in further research. Predictions should not be based on the gravity model because it appears structurally unstable.
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Fratzscher, O. (1996). FDI: The Neglected Twin of Trade. In: The Political Economy of Trade Integration. Contributions to Economics. Physica-Verlag HD. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61490-3_3
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