Skip to main content

A National Forecasting Model System for the Evaluation of the Impacts of Alternative Policy Measures on Transport and the Environment

  • Conference paper
Modelling the Economy and the Environment

Abstract

Norway’s contribution to global emissions of greenhouse gases is estimated to be around 0.2% (Report from the Norwegian Interministerial Climate Group, 1992). Emissions per capita in Norway are on average about the same as in Sweden and Western Europe but are two to three times greater than the world average. In 1988 emissions of greenhouse gases in Norway amounted to about 62.5 million metric tons of CO2-equivalents. CO2 emissions are responsible for 55% of total emissions. About 70% of the total emissions of greenhouse gases are due to the production and use of fossil fuels (State Pollution Control Authority, 1991).

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Ben-Akiva, M. and Lerman, S. (1985)Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand. Cambridge, Massachusetts, MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ben-Akiva, M. (1987) Transportation and Traffic Theory. In: Gartner, N.H. and Wilson, N.H.M., (eds.) Transportation and Traffic Theory, Elsevier Science Publishing, Amsterdam, 459–482.

    Google Scholar 

  • Central Bureau of Statistics (1991) Klima, Økonomi og Tiltak (KLØKT) (Climate, Economic and Measures). Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Central Bureau of Statistics (1987) MSG-4, A Complete Description of the System of Equations. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Central Bureau of Statistics (1987) SIMEN, Study of Industry, Environment and Energy Towards 2000. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Daly, A. and H. Gunn (1986) Cost-Effective Methods for National-Level Demand Forecasting. Behavioural Research for Transport Policy, Science Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Jong, G.C. (1990) An Indirect Utility Model of Car Ownership and Private Car Use.European Economic Review, v. 34, 971–985.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • HCG & TØI (1990) A Model System to Protect Fuel Use and Emissions from Private Travel in Norway. A joint report by Hague Consulting Group and Institute of Transport Economics, Den Haag, Netherlands.

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden, D. (1978) Modelling the Choice of Residential Location in Karlquist A. et al. (eds)Spatial Interaction Theory and Residential Location, North Holland, Amsterdam, 75–79.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Finance 1992–93Langtidsprogrammet 1994–1997 (Long-Term Programme 1994–97), St. Meld. Nr. 4, Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Transport and Communication 1992–1993Norsk veg- og vegtrafikkplan 1994–1997 (The Norwegian Road and Road Transport Plan 1994–1997), St. Meld. Nr. 34, Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramjerdi, F. and Rand, L. (1992a)The National Model System for Private Travel. TØI. Report. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramjerdi, F. and Rand, L. (1992b)The Norwegian Climate Policy and the Passenger Transport Sector. TØI Report. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Report from the Norwegian Interministerial Climate Group (1992) The Greenhouse Effect, Impacts and Response Strategies. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stangeby, I (1987) Reisevane, Norge (Travel Behaviour in Norway). TØI report.Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • State Pollution Control Authority (1990) Klimagass-regnskap for Norge: Beskrivelse av utslippsmengder, drivhusstyrke og utslippsfaktorer (Norway’s Greenhouse Gas Audit). Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thune-Larsen, H (1991) Teknologiske perspektiver for energieffektivitet og klimagassutslip i transport 1985–2025 (Outlook for energy efficiency and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Transport 1985–2025) TØI Report. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

  • Train, K. (1986) Qualitative Choice Analysis. Theory, Econometrics and an Application to Automobile Demand. Cambridge, Massachussets, MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Van den Broecke (1987) Demografische Ontwikkeling en Verkeersen Vervoerproblematiek in de Komende 25 Jaar Van den Broecke/Social Reseach, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vibe, N. (1993) Long Journeys. TØI report. Oslo, Norway.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1996 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Ramjerdi, F., Rand, L. (1996). A National Forecasting Model System for the Evaluation of the Impacts of Alternative Policy Measures on Transport and the Environment. In: Madsen, B., Jensen-Butler, C., Mortensen, J.B., Christensen, A.M.B. (eds) Modelling the Economy and the Environment. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61128-5_13

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-61128-5_13

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-64708-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-61128-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics