Skip to main content

Preference Disaggregation Methodology in Segmentation Problems: The Case of Financial Distress

  • Conference paper
New Operational Approaches for Financial Modelling

Part of the book series: Contributions to Management Science ((MANAGEMENT SC.))

Abstract

Segmentation problems constitute a major part of real world decisions, where a set of alternative actions (solutions) must be classified into two or more predefined classes. The multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) provides several methodologies which are well adapted in segmentation problems. A well known approach in MCDA is based on preference disaggregation which has already been used in ranking problems, but it is also applicable in segmentation problems. The UTADIS (UTilités Additives DIScriminantes) method, a variant of the UTA method, based on the preference disaggregation approach estimates a set of additive utility functions and utility profiles using linear programming techniques in order to minimize the misclassification error between the predefined classes in segmentation problems. This paper presents the application of the UTADIS method in two real world classification problems concerning the field of financial distress. The applications are derived by the studies of Slowinski and Zopounidis (1995), and Dimitras et al. (1996a). The obtained results depict the superiority of the UTADIS method over the discriminant analysis, and they, are also comparable with the results derived by other multicriteria methods.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Altman, E.I. (1968), “Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy”, The Journal of Finance 23, 589–609.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Altman, E.I. (1984), “The success of business failure prediction models, an international survey”, Journal of Banking and Finance 8,2, 171–198.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beaver, W.H. (1966), “Financial ratios as predictors of failure”, Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research 5, 179–199.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ben-David, A. and Sterling, L. (1986), “A prototype expert system for credit evaluation”, in: L.F. Pau (ed.), Artificial Intelligence in Economics and Management, Elsevier Science Publisher, North-Holland, 121–128.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouwman, M.J. (1983), “Human diagnostic reasoning by computer: An illustration from financial analysis”, Management Science 29,6, 653–672.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Casey, M., McGee, V. and Stinkey, C. (1986), “Discriminating between reorganized and liquidated firms in bankruptcy”, The Accounting Review, April, 249-262.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cronan, T.P., Glorferd, L.W. and Perry, L.G. (1991), “Production system development for expert systems using a recursive partitioning induction approach: An application to mortgage, commercial and consumer lending”, Decision Sciences 22, 812–845.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cosset, J., Siskos, Y. and Zopounidis, C. (1992), “Evaluating country risk-A decision support approach”, Global Finance Journal 3,1, 79–95.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Despotis, D.K., Yannacopoulos, D. and Zopounidis, C. (1990), “A review of the UTA multicriteria method and some improvements, Foundations of Computing and Decision Sciences 15,2, 63–76.

    Google Scholar 

  • Despotis, D.K. and Zopounidis, C. (1995), “Building additive utilities in the presence of non-monotonic preferences”, in P.M. Pardalos, Y. Siskos, C. Zopounidis (eds.), Advances in Multicriteria Analysis, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 101–114.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Devaud, J.M., Groussaud, G. and Jacquet-Lagréze, E. (1980), “UTADIS: Une méthode de construction de fonctions d’utilité additives rendant compte de jugements globaux”, European Working Group on Multicriteria Decision Aid, Bochum.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dimitras, A.I. (1995), Multicriteria methods for the assessment of bankruptcy risk, PhD. Dissertation, Technical University of Crete (in Greek).

    Google Scholar 

  • Dimitras, A.I., Slowinski, R. and Zopounidis, C. (1996a), “Business failure prediction using rough sets”, Paper presented at the IFORS ′96, 14 th Triennial Conference, July 8-12, 1996.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dimitras, A.I., Zanakis, S.H. and Zopounidis, C. (1996b), “A survey of business failures with an emphasis on prediction methods and industrial applications”, European Journal of Operational Research 90, 487–513.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dimitras, AI., Zopounidis, C. and Hurson, C. (1995), “A multicriteria decision aid method for the assessment of business failure risk”, Foundations of Computing and Decision Sciences 20,2, 99–112.

    Google Scholar 

  • Duchessi, P. and Belardo, S. (1987), “Lending analysis support system (LASS): An application of a knowledge-based system to support commercial loan analysis”, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics 17,4, 608–616.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eisenbeis, R. (1977), “The pitfalls in the application of discriminant analysis in business, finance and economics”, The Journal of Finance 32, 723–739.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elmer, P.J. and Borowski, D.M. (1988), “An expert system approach to financial analysis: The case of S&L bankruptcy”, Financial Management 17, 66–76.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta, M.C. and Huefner, R.J. (1972), “A cluster analysis study of financial ratios and industry characteristics”, Journal of Accounting Research, Spring, 77-95.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hurson, Ch. and Zopounidis, C. (1995), “On the use of multi-criteria decision aid methods to portfolio selection”, Journal of Euro-Asian Management 1,2, 69–94.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacquet-Lagréze, E. (1995), “An application of the UTA discriminant model for the evaluation of R & D projects”, in: P.M. Pardalos, Y. Siskos, C. Zopounidis (eds.), Advances in Multicriteria Analysis, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 203–211.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Jacquet-Lagréze, E. and Siskos, Y. (1982), “Assessing a set of additive utility functions for multicriteria decision making, the UTA method”, European Journal of Operational Research 10, 151–164.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jensen, R.E. (1971), “A cluster analysis study of financial performance of selected firms”, The Accounting Review XLVI, January, 36–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keasey, K., McGuinness, P. and Short, H. (1990), “Multilogit approach to predicting corporate failure-Further analysis and the issue of signal consistency”, OMEGA 18,1, 85–94.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Libby, R. (1975), “Accounting ratios and the prediction of failure: Some behavioral evidence”, Journal of Accounting Review 13,1, 150–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mareschal, B. and Brans, J.P. (1991), “BANKADVISER: An industrial evaluation system”, European Journal of Operational Research 54, 318–324.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martel, J.M. and Khoury N. (1994), “Une alternative à l’analyse discriminante en prévision de faillite: Un indice multicritére”, ASAC ′94, Halifax, Nouvelle Ecosse.

    Google Scholar 

  • Martin, D. (1977), “Early warning of bank failure: A logit regression approach”, Journal of Banking and Finance 1, 249–276.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Massaglia, M. and Ostanello, A. (1991), “N-TOMIC: A decision support for multicriteria segmentation problems”, in: P. Korhonen (ed.), International Workshop on Multicriteria Decision Support, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematics Systems 356, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 167–174.

    Google Scholar 

  • Messier, W.F. and Hansen, J.V. (1988), “Inducing rules for expert system development: An example using default and bankruptcy data”, Management Science 34,12, 1403–1415.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Michalopoulos, M. and Zopounidis, C. (1993), “An expert system for the assessment of bankruptcy risk”, in: B. Papathanassiou and K. Paparrizos (eds.), Proceedings of 2 nd Balkan Conference on Operational Research, 151-163.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mousseau, V. and Slowinski, R. (1996), “Inferring an ELECTRE-TRI model from assignment examples”, Cahier du LAMSADE, no 140, Juin, Univesité de Paris-Dauphine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pawlak, Z. (1982), “Rough sets”, International Journal of Information & Computer Science 11, 341–356.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peel, M.J., (1987), “Timeliness of private company reports predicting corporate failure”, Investment Analysis 83, 23–27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pinson, S. (1989), “Credit risk assessment and meta-judgement”, Theory and Decision 27, 117–133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pinson, S. (1992), “A multi-expert architecture for credit risk assessment: The CREDEX system”, in: D.E. O’Leary and R.P. Watkins (eds.), Expert Systems in Finance, Elsevier Science Publishers, North-Holland, 27–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roy, B. (1981), “A multicriteria analysis for trichotomic segmentation problems”, in: P. Nijkamp and J. Spronk (eds.), Operational Methods, Gower Press, 245-257.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roy, B. (1985), Méthodologie multicritére d’ aide à la décision, Economica, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roy, B. (1996), Multicriteria methodology for decision aiding, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Roy, B. and Bouyssou, D. (1993), Aide multicritére à la décision: Méthodes et cas, Economica, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roy, B. and Moscarola, J. (1977), “Procédure automatique d’examem de dossiers fondée sur une segmentation trichotomique en présence de critéres multiples”, RAIRO Recherche Opérationnele 11,2, 145–173.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shaw, M. and Gentry, J.A. (1988), “Using an expert system with inductive learning to evaluate business loans”, Financial Management, Autumn, 45-56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siskos, Y. and Yannacopoulos, D. (1985), “UTASTAR: An ordinal regression method for building additive value functions”, Investigação Operacionol 5/1, 39-53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siskos, Y. and Zopounidis, C. (1987), “The evaluation criteria of the venture capital investment activity: An interactive assessment”, European Journal of Operational Research 31, 304–313.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siskos, Y., Zopounidis, C. and Pouliezos, A. (1994), “An integrated DSS for financing firms by an industrial development bank in Greece”, Decision Support Systems 12, 151–168.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Skogsvik, K. (1990), “Current cost accounting ratios as predictors of business failure: The Swedish case”, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 17,1, 137–160.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slowinski, R. and Zopounidis, C. (1995), “Application of the rough set approach to evaluation of bankruptcy risk”, International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management A, 27-41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Srinivasan, V. and Ruparel, B. (1990), “CGX: An expert support system for credit granting”, European Journal of Operational Research 45, 293–308.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yu, W. (1992), “ELECTRE TRI: Aspects méthodologiques et manuel d’ utilisation”, Document du LAMSADE, no 74, Univesité de Paris-Dauphine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zeleny, M. (1982), Multiple criteria decision making, McGraw-Hill, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C. (1987), “A multicriteria decision-making methodology for the evaluation of the risk of failure and an application”, Foundations of Control Engineering 12,1, 45–67.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C. (1995), Evaluation du risque de défaillance de l’entreprise: Méthodes et cas d’application, Economica, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C., Doumpos, M. and Matsatsinis, N.F. (1996a), “Application of the FINEVA multicriteria knowledge-based decision support system to the assessment of corporate failure risk”, Foundations of Computing and Decision Sciences, (in press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C., Godefroid, M. and Hurson, Ch. (1995), “Designing a multicriteria decision support system for portfolio selection and management”, in: J. Janssen, C.H. Skiadas and C. Zopounidis (Eds), Advances in Stochastic Modelling and Data Analysis, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 261–292.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C., Matsatsinis, N.F. and Doumpos, M. (1996b), “Developing a multicriteria knowledge-based decision support system for the assessment of corporate performance and viability: The FINEVA system”, Fuzzy Economic Review 1,2, 35–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zopounidis, C., Pouliezos, A. and Yannacopoulos, D. (1992), “Designing a DSS for the assessment of company performance and viability”, Computer Science in Economics and Management 5, 41–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1997 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Zopounidis, C., Doumpos, M. (1997). Preference Disaggregation Methodology in Segmentation Problems: The Case of Financial Distress. In: Zopounidis, C. (eds) New Operational Approaches for Financial Modelling. Contributions to Management Science. Physica, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-59270-6_31

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-59270-6_31

  • Publisher Name: Physica, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-7908-1043-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-59270-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics