Abstract
The paper describes the objectives and the state of the art of real-time flood forecasting by discussing the problems and the possibilities offered by the presently available measurement and modelling systems. In addition the paper shows the need for a Decision Support System (DSS) for Inundation Risk Evaluation and Emergencies Management from the emerging requirements for a holistic approach to flood management, recently advocated at national and EU levels. As a logical consequence, the paper proposes the development of FLOODSS, a DSS responding to the need of an integrated tool for planning and management that, taking advantage of available High Performance Computer platforms, allows (1) to locate areas at risk and to estimate expected damages; (2) to forecast floods and inundation phenomena on the basis of real-time analysis of the present meteorological situation and of forecasts available at different time and space scales; (3) to evaluate the effects of decisions aimed at reducing social, economical and environmental damages on the basis of planned or real-time forecasted scenarios and (4) the continuous training of personnel.
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Todini, E. (2003). Real-Time Flood Forecasting: Problems, Possibilities and Proposed Solutions. In: Zschau, J., Küppers, A. (eds) Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Reduction. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-55903-7_29
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-55903-7_29
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