Skip to main content

Non-parametric Estimators for the Probability of Default

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Statistics of Financial Markets

Part of the book series: Universitext ((UTX))

  • 4812 Accesses

Abstract

The estimation of the probability of default based on information on the individual customer or the company is an important part of credit screening, i.e., judging the credit standing. It is essential for the establishment of a rating or for measuring credit risk to estimate the probability that a company will end in financial difficulties within a given period, for example, 1 year. Also, here non-parametric applications prove to be flexible tools in estimating the desired default probability without arbitrary assumptions. In this chapter we will give a brief overview of the various approaches for non- and semiparametric estimates of conditional probabilities.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Anders, U. (1997). Statistische neuronale Netze. München: Vahlen.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fahrmeir, L., & Tutz, G. (1994). Multivariate statistical modelling based on generalized linear models. Heidelberg: Springer.

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hastie, T. J., & Tibshirani, R. J. (1990). Generalized additive models. Monographs on statistics and applied probability (Vol. 43). London: Chapman and Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Müller, M. (2000). Generalized partial linear models. In W. Härdle, Z. Hlavka, & S. Klinke (Eds.), XploRe application guide. Heidelberg: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Müller, M., & Rönz, B. (2000). Credit scoring using semiparametric methods. In J. Franke, W. Härdle, & G. Stahl (Eds.), Measuring risk in complex stochastic systems. Heidelberg: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Severini, T., & Staniswallis, J. (1994). Quasi-likelihood estimation in semiparametric models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 501–511.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Severini, T., & Wong, W. (1992). Generalized profile likelihood and conditionally parametric models. Annals of Statistics, 20, 1768–1802.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Franke, J., Härdle, W.K., Hafner, C.M. (2015). Non-parametric Estimators for the Probability of Default. In: Statistics of Financial Markets. Universitext. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-54539-9_21

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics