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Decomposition Study of the Agricultural Products Price

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Abstract

According to the data characteristics of pigs, eggs and early indica rice, rice varieties broken down into the season, trend, cycle, and the random component, with the method of X-12, H-P Adjustments and estimate. It turns out that: random shocks in most years less the impact of pigs、eggs and early indica rice prices, deterministic trend is dominated by abnormal price fluctuations less. In addition, the pig、egg and early indica rice price since 2000 experienced a total of three complete cycles, average cycle length of 39 months.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Guangdong Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Guangzhou, 510640, China

    Zhong Wan, Wei-jun Lin, Wei Fang & Dong-xia Duan

  2. Foshan Sanshui Rural Credit Union, Guangdong, Foshan, 528000, China

    Lin Bai

Authors
  1. Zhong Wan
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  2. Lin Bai
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  3. Wei-jun Lin
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  4. Wei Fang
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  5. Dong-xia Duan
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhong Wan .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China

    Shiwei Xu

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© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Wan, Z., Bai, L., Lin, Wj., Fang, W., Duan, Dx. (2014). Decomposition Study of the Agricultural Products Price. In: Xu, S. (eds) Proceedings of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-54389-0_4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-54389-0_4

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-54388-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-54389-0

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