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Advances in Social Simulation pp 129–141Cite as

Studying Possible Outcomes in a Model of Sexually Transmitted Virus (HPV) Causing Cervical Cancer for Poland

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Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 229))

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to supplement knowledge about the spread of sexually transmitted diseases through computer simulations. The model has aggregated the most important properties of HPV infections and development of cervical cancer in demographically changing Polish society. The main goal is the authoritative analysis of the potential epidemiological control strategies and their impact on situation in Poland in the future 25 years. Constructed model shows indication that vaccination with screening organized alongside would be effective measures against cervical cancer. It also alarms authorities that processes like aging of society and increase of sexual activity (which are taking place in Poland at the moment) could recall epidemic, if prevention would not act properly.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Smoluchowski Institute, Jagiellonian University, Cracow, Poland

    Andrzej Jarynowski

  2. Department of Sociology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden

    Andrzej Jarynowski

  3. Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden

    Ana Serafimovic

  4. Central Institute for Labor Protection, National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland

    Andrzej Jarynowski

Authors
  1. Andrzej Jarynowski
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  2. Ana Serafimovic
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Andrzej Jarynowski .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Division of Decision Analysis and Support, School of Economics Institute of Econometrics, Warsaw, Poland

    Bogumił Kamiński

  2. Division of Decision Analysis and Support, School of Economics, Institute of Econometrics, Warsaw, Poland

    Grzegorz Koloch

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© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Jarynowski, A., Serafimovic, A. (2014). Studying Possible Outcomes in a Model of Sexually Transmitted Virus (HPV) Causing Cervical Cancer for Poland. In: Kamiński, B., Koloch, G. (eds) Advances in Social Simulation. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 229. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39829-2_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39829-2_12

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-39828-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-39829-2

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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