Abstract
Spatial interaction models approximate mean interaction frequencies between origin and destination locations by using origin-specific, destination-specific and spatial separation information. The focus is on models that are based on the theory of feedforward neural networks. This contribution considers the functional form of neural spatial interaction models, including the specification of the activation functions, and discusses the problem of network training within a maximum likelihood framework that involves the solution of a non-linear optimization problem. This requires the evaluation of the log-likelihood function with respect to the network parameters. Overfitting is a problem that is likely to occur in neural spatial interaction models. To avoid this problem the contribution recommends controlling the model complexity either by regularization or by early stopping in network training. A bootstrapping pairs approach with replacement may be adopted to evaluate the generalization performance of the models.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Baldi, P., Chauvin, Y.: Temporal evolution of generalization during learning in linear networks. Neural Computation 3(4), 589–603 (1991)
Bergkvist, E.: Forecasting interregional freight flows by gravity models. Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft 20(2), 133–148 (2000)
Bergkvist, E., Westin, L.: Estimation of gravity models by OLS estimation, NLS estimation, Poisson and neural network specifications. CERUM Regional Dimensions, WP-6 (1997)
Bishop, C.M.: Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer, New York (2006)
Bishop, C.M.: Neural networks for pattern recognition. Clarendon Press, Oxford (1995)
Black, W.P.: Spatial interaction modeling using artificial neural networks. Journal of Transportation Geography 3(3), 159–166 (1995)
Cybenko, G.: Approximation by superpositions of a sigmoidal function. Mathematics of Control Signals and Systems 2(4), 303–314 (1989)
Efron, B.: The jackknife, the bootstrap and other resampling plans. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia (1982)
Finnoff, W.: Complexity measures for classes of neural networks with variable weight bounds. In: Proceedings of the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 1994, vol. 4, pp. 1880–1882. IEEE Press, Piscataway (1991)
Fischer, M.M.: Spatial interaction models. In: Warf, B. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Geography, pp. 2645–2647. Sage Publications, London (2010)
Fischer, M.M.: Learning in neural spatial interaction models: A statistical perspective. Journal of Geographical Systems 4(3), 287–299 (2002)
Fischer, M.M.: Methodological challenges in neural spatial interaction modelling: The issue of model selection. In: Reggiani, A. (ed.) Spatial Economic Science: New Frontiers in Theory and Methodology, pp. 89–101. Springer, Heidelberg (2000)
Fischer, M.M., Gopal, S.: Artificial neural networks. A new approach to modelling interregional telecommunication flows. Journal of Regional Science 34(4), 503–527 (1994)
Fischer, M.M., Leung, Y.: A genetic-algorithm based evolutionary computational neural network for modelling spatial interaction data. The Annals of Regional Science 32(3), 437–458 (1998)
Fischer, M.M., Reismann, M.: Evaluating neural spatial interaction modelling by bootstrapping. Networks and Spatial Economics 2(3), 255–268 (2002a)
Fischer, M.M., Reismann, M.: A methodology for neural spatial interaction modeling. Geographical Analysis 34(3), 207–228 (2002b)
Fischer, M.M., Hlavácková-Schindler, K., Reismann, M.: A global search procedure for parameter estimation in neural spatial interaction modelling. Papers in Regional Science 78(2), 119–134 (1999)
Fischer, M.M., Reismann, M., Hlavácková-Schindler, K.: Neural network modelling of constrained spatial interaction flows: Design, estimation and performance issues. Journal of Regional Science 43(1), 35–61 (2003)
Funahashi, K.: On the approximate realization of continuous mappings by neural networks. Neural Networks 2(3), 183–192 (1989)
Haykin, S.: Neural networks. A comprehensive foundation. Macmillan College Publishing Company, New York (1994)
Hornik, K., Stinchcombe, M., White, H.: Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Networks 2(5), 359–368 (1989)
Kullback, S., Leibler, R.A.: On information and sufficiency. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22(1), 78–86 (1951)
Mozolin, M., Thill, J.-C., Usery, E.L.: Trip distribution forecasting with multilayer perceptron neural networks: A critical evaluation. Transportation Research B 34(1), 53–73 (2000)
Nijkamp, P., Reggiani, A., Tritapepe, A.: Modelling intra-urban transport flows in Italy. TRACE Discussion Papers TI 96-60/5. Tinbergen Institute, The Netherlands (1996)
Nocedal, J., Wright, S.J.: Numerical optimization. Springer, New York (1999)
Openshaw, S.: Modelling spatial interaction using a neural net. In: Fischer, M.M., Nijkamp, P. (eds.) Geographic Information Systems, Spatial Modelling, and Policy Evaluation, pp. 147–164. Springer, Heidelberg (1993)
Press, W.H., Teukolky, S.A., Vetterling, W.T., Flannery, B.P.: Numerical recipes in C. The art of scientific computing, 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1992)
Reggiani, A., Tritapepe, T.: Neural networks and logit models applied to commuters’ mobility in the metropolitan area of Milan. In: Himanen, V., Nijkamp, P., Reggiani, A. (eds.) Neural Networks in Transport Applications, pp. 111–129. Ashgate, Aldershot (2000)
Rumelhart, D.E., Durbin, R., Golden, R., Chauvin, Y.: Backpropagation: The basic theory. In: Chauvin, Y., Rumelhart, D.E. (eds.) Backpropagation: Theory, Architectures and Applications, pp. 1–34. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdale (1995)
Rumelhart, D.E., Hinton, G.E., Williams, R.J.: Learning internal representations by error propagation. In: Rumelhart, D.E., McClelland, J.L. (eds.) Parallel Distributed Processing: Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition, pp. 318–362. MIT Press, Cambridge (1986)
Thill, J.-C., Mozolin, M.: Feedforward neural networks for spatial interaction: Are they trustworthy forecasting tools? In: Reggiani, A. (ed.) Spatial Economic Science: New Frontiers in Theory and Methodology, pp. 355–381. Springer, Heidelberg (2000)
Tibshirani, R.: Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 58(1), 267–288 (1996)
Weigend, A.S., Rumelhart, D.E., Huberman, B.A.: Generalization by weight elimination with application to forecasting. In: Lippman, R., Moody, J., Touretzky, D. (eds.) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, vol. 3, pp. 875–882. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo (1991)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Fischer, M.M. (2013). Neural Spatial Interaction Models: Network Training, Model Complexity and Generalization Performance. In: Murgante, B., et al. Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2013. ICCSA 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7974. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39649-6_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39649-6_1
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-39648-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-39649-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)