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Abstract

This chapter presents the results of the scenario analysis of China’s ecosystems focusing on forest, grassland, and wetland ecosystems. The analysis was undertaken using Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects (CLUE) modeling and an ecosystem service matrix (as explained below) complemented by a series of stakeholder policy consultations and case studies. The study projects and analyzes the impacts of land use and/or conversion on the generation of ecosystem services for development in China using three different scenarios and then identifies the policies and actions that will sustain and enhance ecosystem service flows from forests, wetlands, and grasslands.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    In January 2000, the Central Committee of the Communist Party issued No.2 Document, and in March the State Council approved a joint report by the State Forestry Administration, Ministry of Finance, and the State Planning Commission to start the Pilot Program of Returning Farmlands to Forests and Grasslands at upper stream of the Yangtze and upper-middle reaches of the Yellow River, marking the beginning of a national ecological restoration program.

  2. 2.

    http://faostat.fao.org/

  3. 3.

    http://data.worldbank.org/

  4. 4.

    Sheep units/ha/year

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Correspondence to Lailai Li .

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Li, L. et al. (2014). Scenario Analysis. In: Chen, Y., Jessel, B., Fu, B., Yu, X., Pittock, J. (eds) Ecosystem Services and Management Strategy in China. Springer Earth System Sciences. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38733-3_4

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