Abstract
This paper investigates the dependence structure between the Air Pollution Index (API) of Shenzhen and corresponding regional, national levels based on copula based GARCH models. In particular, time varying normal copula and time varying SJC copula are compared and employed to model the dependence structure. Comparison with the results of DCC-GARCH model is made. We find that there exists significant asymmetric upper and lower tail dependence between Shenzhen and regional, national levels; tail dependence captures the change in dependence better; dependence structure change across time. Our findings have implications for environmental management.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Bollerslev, T., Engle, R.F., Wooldridge, J.M.: A capital asset pricing model with time varying Covariances. Journal of Political Economy 96, 116–131 (1988)
Bollerslev, T.: Modeling the coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH model. Review of Economics and Statistics 72, 498–505 (1990)
Liu, C.-M., Young, C.-Y., Lee, Y.-C.: Influence of Asian dust storms on air quality in Taiwan. Science of the Total Environment 368, 884–897 (2006)
Nelson, D.B.: Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica 59(2), 347–370 (1991)
Engle, R., Kroner, F.: Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory 11, 122–150 (1995)
Engle, R.F.: Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH, http://weber.ucsd.edu/~ksheppar/research
Engle: Dynamic conditional correlation: asimple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. J. Business Econ. Stat. 20, 339–350 (2002)
Cousin, F., Tulet, P., Rosset, R.: Interaction between local and regional pollution during Escompte 2001: impact on surface ozone concentrations (IOP2a and 2b). Atmospheric Research 74, 117–137 (2005)
Xiao, F., Brajer, V., Mead, R.W.: Blowing in the wind: The impact of China’s Pearl River Delta on Hong Kong’s air quality. Science of the Total Environment 367, 96–111 (2006)
Glosten, Lawrence, R., Jagannathan, et al.: On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. Journal of Finance, American Finance Association 48(5), 1779–1801 (1993)
Fang, G.-C., Chang, S.-C.: Atmospheric particulate (PM10 and PM2.5) mass concentration and seasonal variation study in the Taiwan area during 2000–2008. Atmospheric Research 98, 368–377 (2010)
Jondeau, E., Rockinger, M.: The copula GARCH model of conditional dependencies: an international stock market application. Journal of International Money and Finance 25, 827–853 (2006)
Longmore, R., Robinson, W.: Modelling and Forecasting Exchange Rate Dynamics: An Application of Asymmetric Volatility Models. Bank of Jamaica. Working Paper WP 2004/03 (2004)
Nelsen, R.B.: An Introduction to Copulas, 2nd edn. Springer, New York (2006)
Patton, A.J.: Modelling Asymmetric Exchange Rate Dependence. International Economic Review 47, 527–556 (2006a)
Miller, P.J., Grumet, J.: Bi-national and regional issues in air quality science and policy. Environmental Science & Policy 1, 223–230 (1998)
Hoti, S., McAleer, M., Chan, F.: Modelling the spillover effects in the volatility of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 69, 46–56 (2005)
Holloway, T., Sakurai, T., Han, Z., et al.: MICS-Asia II: Impact of global emissions on regional air quality in Asia. Atmospheric Environment 42, 3543–3561 (2008)
Lee, Y.C., Yang, X., Wenig, M.: Transport of dusts from East Asian and non-East Asian sources to Hong Kong during dust storm related events 1996-2007. Atmospheric Environment 44, 3728–3738 (2010)
Zhang, Y., Olsen, S.C., Dubey, M.K.: WRF/Chem simulated springtime impact of rising Asian emissions on air quality over the U.S. Atmospheric Environment 44, 2799–2812 (2010)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Zhanqiong, H., Sriboonchitta, S., Jing, D. (2013). Modeling Dependence Dynamics of Air Pollution: Time Series Analysis Using a Copula Based GARCH Type Model. In: Huynh, VN., Kreinovich, V., Sriboonchitta, S., Suriya, K. (eds) Uncertainty Analysis in Econometrics with Applications. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 200. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-35443-4_15
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-35443-4_15
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-35442-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-35443-4
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)