Skip to main content

A Convolution-Based Autoregressive Process

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Statistics ((LNSP,volume 213))

Abstract

We propose a convolution-based approach to the estimation of nonlinear autoregressive processes. The model allows for state-dependent autocorrelation, that is different persistence of the shocks in different phases of the market and dependent innovations, that is drawn from different distributions in different phases of the market.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Bachelier, L.: Théorie de la Speculation. Gauthier-Villars, Paris (1900)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Basawa, I.V., Prakasa Rao, B.L.S.: Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes. Academic, New York (1980)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Beare, B.K.: Copulas and temporal dependence. Econometrica 78(1), 395–410 (2010)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Chen X., Fan Y.: Estimation of copula-based semiparametric time series models. J. Econom. 130, 307–335 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  5. Chen, X., Wu, W.B., Yi Y.: Efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric Markov models. Ann. Stat. 37(6B), 4214–4253 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Cherubini, U., Gobbi, F., Mulinacci, S., Romagnoli, S.: Dynamic Copula Methods in Finance. Wiley, Chichester (2011)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  7. Cherubini, U., Mulinacci, S., Romagnoli, S.: A copula-based model of speculative price dynamics in discrete time. J. Multivar. Anal. 102(6), 1047–1063 (2011)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. Darsow, W.F., Nguyen, B., Olsen, E.T.: Copulas and Markov processes. Illinois J. Math. 36(4), 600–642 (1992)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A.: Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74, 427–431 (1979)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A.: Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica 49, 1057–1072 (1981)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Fama, E.F.: Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work. J. Financ. 25(2), 383–417 (1965)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Hamilton, J.D.: Time Series Analysis. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1994)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Joe, H.: Multivariate Models and Dependence Concepts. Chapman & Hall, London (1997)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Klement, E.P., Mesiar, R., Pap, E.: Invariant copulas. Kybernetika 38, 275–285 (2002)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Nelsen, R.: An Introduction to Copulas. Springer, New York (2006)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  16. Nelson, C., Plosser, C.: Trend and randon walk in macroeconomic time series. J. Monet. Econ. 10, 139–169 (1982)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Samuelson, P.A.R.: Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly. Ind. Manage. Rev. 6, 41–50 (1963)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Samuelson, P.A.R.: Mathematics of speculative price. SIAM Rev. 15(1), 1–42 (1973)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  19. Sklar, A.: Fonctions de répartition à n dimension et leurs marges. Publ. Inst. Stat. Univ. Paris 8, 229–231 (1959)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Umberto Cherubini .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Cherubini, U., Gobbi, F. (2013). A Convolution-Based Autoregressive Process. In: Jaworski, P., Durante, F., Härdle, W. (eds) Copulae in Mathematical and Quantitative Finance. Lecture Notes in Statistics(), vol 213. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-35407-6_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics