Skip to main content

Modelling the Behaviour of Households

  • Chapter
Macroeconometric Models

Part of the book series: Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics ((ASTA,volume 47))

  • 2695 Accesses

Abstract

Consumption function in its development is outlined. The habit formation is introduced. The dependence of real disposable incomes and real personal wealth is analyzed. The concepts of permanent income and long life income are introduced. The empirical results obtained in multisectoral models are shown.

The equations specifying the investment demand functions are elaborated. The labour supply functions are derived from maximizing the consumers utility.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Most comprehensive description of the modifications can be found in Welfe (1991) and Welfe and Welfe (2004).

  2. 2.

    Several authors look at the impact of the consumption-total wealth ratio, i.e. of α, on the expected stock returns (cf. Lettau and Ludvigson 2001, and Zachłod-Jelec 2010).

References

  • Allard-Prigent, C., Auderis, C., Berger, K., Carrot, N., Duchene, S., & Presin, F. (2001). Preséntation du modéle MÉSANGE, modéle economiétrique de simulation et d’analyse générale de l’economic (Document de travail). Paris: Ministére de l’Économic, Direction de la Prevision.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ando, A., & Modigliani, F. (1963). The life cycle hypothesis of saving: aggregate implications and tests. American Economic Review, 53, 55.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barrell, R., Becker, B., Byrne, J., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., & van Welsan, D. (2004). Macroeconomic policy in Europe, experiments with monetary response and fiscal analyses. Economic Modelling, 21, 877–931.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Basdevant, O. (2000). An econometric model of the Russian Federation. Economic Modelling, 17, 305–336.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blanchard, O. (1985). Debt, deficits and finite horizons. Journal of Political Economy, 93, 223–247.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brown, T. M. (1952). Habit persistence and lags in consumer behaviour. Econometrica, 20, 355–371.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y., & Mankiw, N. G. (1991). The response of consumption to income, a cross country investigation. European Economic Review, 35, 723–767.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coen, R. M., & Hickman, B. G. (2006). An econometric model of potential output, productivity growth, and resource utilization. Journal of Macroeconomics, 28, 645–664.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, J. E. H., Hendry, D. H., Srba, E., & Yeo, S. (1978). Econometric modelling of the aggregate time-series relationship between consumers. Expenditures and income in the United Kingdom. Economic Journal, 89, 661–692.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Bondt, G. J., van Els, P. J. A., & Studeman, A. C. J. (1997). EUROMON: a macroeconometric multicountry model for the EU (DNB Staff Reports No. 17). Amsterdam: De Nederlandsche Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fair, R. C. (2004). Estimating how the macroeconomy works. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fernandez-Corugedo, E., Price, S., & Blake, A. P. (2007). The dynamics of aggregate UK consumers’ non-durable expenditure. Economic Modelling, 24, 453–469.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Friedman, M. (1957). A theory of the consumption function. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Global Insight Co. (2002). DRI-WEFA’s macroeconometric models. http://www.iccfglobal.org/pdf.

  • Hall, R. E. (1978). Stochastic implications of the cycle permanent income hypothesis: theory and evidence. Journal of Political Economy, 86, 971–987.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harrison, R., Nikolov, K., Quinn, M., Ramsay, G., Scott, A., & Thomas, R. (2005). The Bank of England quarterly model. London: Bank of England.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hendry, D. H., & von Ungern-Sternberg, T. (1981). Liquidity and inflations effects in consumers’ expenditures. In A. S. Deaton (Ed.), Essays in the theory and measurement of consumer behaviour. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lettau, M., & Ludvigson, S. (2001). Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 16, 815–849.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levin, A. T., Rogers, J. H., & Tryon, R. W. (1997). A guide to FRB/Global (Mimeo, International Finance Discussion Papers No. 588). Washington: FRS.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masson, P., Symansky, S. A., & Meredith, G. (1990). MULTIMOD MARK II: a revised and extended model (IMF Occasional Paper No. 71). Washington: IMF.

    Google Scholar 

  • MIMOSA Modelling Group (1990). MIMOSA, a model of the world economy (OFCE Working Paper No. 90-02). Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F. (1966). The life cycle hypothesis of saving, the demand for wealth and the supply of capital. Social Research, 33, 160–217.

    Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F. (1975). The life cycle hypothesis of saving, twenty years later. In M. Parkin & A. R. Nobay (Eds.), Contemporary issues in economics. Manchester: Manchester University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F., & Ando, A. (1957). Test of the life cycle hypothesis of saving. Bulletin Oxford University Institute of Statistics, 19, 99–124.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F., & Brumberg, R. H. (1954). Utility analysis and the consumption function: an interpretation of cross-section data. In K. K. Kurihara (Ed.), Post Keynesian economics (pp. 388–436). New Brunswick: Rutgers University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Muellbauer, J., & Luttimore, R. (1995). The consumption function: a theoretical and empirical overview. In M. H. Pesaran & M. Wickens (Eds.), Blackwell Handbook of Economics (pp. 221–311). Oxford: Blackwell.

    Google Scholar 

  • NIGEM (2002). The world model manual. London: NIESR.

    Google Scholar 

  • OECD (1993). The OECD INTERLINK system (Mimeo).

    Google Scholar 

  • Petersen, C. E., Pedersen, K. N., Riordan, E. J., Lynn, R. A., & Bradley, T. (1991). BANK-GEM: a World Bank global economic model (Mimeo). Washington: The World Bank. SECAP.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smets, F., & Wouters, R. (2003). An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Euro area. Journal of the European Economic Association, 1, 1123–1175.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stone, J. R. N. (1954). Linear expenditure system and demand analysis: an application to the pattern of British demand. Economic Journal, 64, 511–527.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suchecki, B. (2006). Kompletne modele popytu (Demand systems). Warszawa: PWE.

    Google Scholar 

  • Welfe, A. (1991). Modelowanie nierównowagi (Disequilibria modelling). Przegląd Statystyczny, 38, 117–133.

    Google Scholar 

  • Welfe, W. (Ed.) (2001). Ekonometryczny model wzrostu gospodarczego (Econometric model of economic growth). Łódź: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego.

    Google Scholar 

  • Welfe, W. (2009). Makroekonometryczny model gospodarki opartej na wiedzy (Macroeconometric model of a knowledge-based economy). Acta UŁ, Folia oeconomica, 229. Łódź: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego.

    Google Scholar 

  • Welfe, W., & Welfe, A. (2004). Ekonometria stosowana (Applied econometrics). Warszawa: PWE.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yaari, M. E. (1965). Uncertain lifetime, life insurance, and the theory of the consumer. Review of Economic Studies, 32, 137–150.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zachłod-Jelec, M. (2010). Interrelations between consumption and wealth in Poland. Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, 2, 37–57.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Władysław Welfe .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Welfe, W. (2013). Modelling the Behaviour of Households. In: Macroeconometric Models. Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, vol 47. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34468-8_16

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics