Skip to main content

A Hybrid Model for S&P500 Index Forecasting

  • Conference paper
  • 3161 Accesses

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 7553))

Abstract

This paper presents a morphological-linear model, called the dilation-erosion-linear perceptron (DELP), for financial forecasting. It consists of a hybrid model composed of morphological operators under context of lattice theory and a linear operator. A gradient-based method is presented to design the proposed DELP (learning process). Also, it is included an automatic phase fix procedure to adjust time phase distortions observed in financial phenomena. Furthermore, an experimental analysis is conducted with the proposed model using the S&P500 Index, where five well-known performance metrics and an evaluation function are used to assess the forecasting performance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Clements, M.P., Franses, P.H., Swanson, N.R.: Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models. International Journal of Forecasting 20, 169–183 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. de A. Araújo, R.: Swarm-based hybrid intelligent forecasting method for financial time series prediction. Learning and Nonlinear Models 5(2), 137–154 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Ferreira, T.A.E., Vasconcelos, G.C., Adeodato, P.J.L.: A new intelligent system methodology for time series forecasting with artificial neural networks. Neural Processing Letters 28, 113–129 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Sitte, R., Sitte, J.: Neural networks approach to the random walk dilemma of financial time series. Applied Intelligence 16(3), 163–171 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Malkiel, B.G.: A Random Walk Down Wall Street, Completely Revised and Updated Edition. W. W. Norton & Company (April 2003)

    Google Scholar 

  6. de A. Araújo, R., Ferreira, T.A.E.: An intelligent hybrid morphological-rank-linear method for financial time series prediction. Neurocomputing 72(10-12), 2507–2524 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Pessoa, L.F.C., Maragos, P.: Neural networks with hybrid morphological rank linear nodes: a unifying framework with applications to handwritten character recognition. Pattern Recognition 33, 945–960 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Sousa, R.P., Carvalho, J.M., Assis, F.M., Pessoa, L.F.C.: Designing translation invariant operations via neural network training. In: Proc. of the IEEE Intl. Conference on Image Processing, Vancouver, Canada (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Takens, F.: Detecting strange attractor in turbulence. In: Dold, A., Eckmann, B. (eds.) Dynamical Systems and Turbulence. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 898, pp. 366–381. Springer, New York (1980)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Prechelt, L.: Proben1: A set of neural network benchmark problems and benchmarking rules. Technical Report 21/94 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

de A. Araújo, R., Oliveira, A.L.I., Meira, S.R.L. (2012). A Hybrid Model for S&P500 Index Forecasting. In: Villa, A.E.P., Duch, W., Érdi, P., Masulli, F., Palm, G. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2012. ICANN 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7553. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33266-1_71

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33266-1_71

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-33265-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-33266-1

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics