Skip to main content

Diffusion Maps and Local Models for Wind Power Prediction

  • Conference paper
Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2012 (ICANN 2012)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 7553))

Included in the following conference series:

  • 3207 Accesses

Abstract

In this work we will apply Diffusion Maps (DM), a recent technique for dimensionality reduction and clustering, to build local models for wind energy forecasting. We will compare ridge regression models for K–means clusters obtained over DM features, against the models obtained for clusters constructed over the original meteorological data or principal components, and also against a global model. We will see that a combination of the DM model for the low wind power region and the global model elsewhere outperforms other options.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Alaíz, C., Barbero, A., Fernández, A., Dorronsoro, J.: High wind and energy specific models for global production forecast. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition (EWEC 2009), Marseille, France (March 2009)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Barbero, A., López, J., Dorronsoro, J.: Kernel methods for wide area wind power forecasting. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition (EWEC 2008), Brussels, Belgium (April 2008)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Belkin, M., Nyogi, P.: Laplacian eigenmaps for dimensionality reduction and data representation. Neural Computation 15(6), 1373–1396 (2003)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Bengio, Y., Delalleau, O., Roux, N.L., Paiement, J., Vincent, P., Ouimet, M.: Learning eigenfunctions links spectral embedding and kernel pca. Neural Computation 16(10), 2197–2219 (2004)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Coifman, R., Lafon, S.: Diffusion maps. Applied and Computational Harmonic Analysis 21(1), 5–30 (2006)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  6. European center for medium–range weather forecasts (2005), http://www.ecmwf.int/

  7. Hoerl, A.E., Kennard, R.W.: Ridge regression: Biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12(12), 55–67 (1970)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. Monteiro, C., Bessa, R., Miranda, V., Botterud, A., Wang, J., Conzelmann, G.: Wind power forecasting: State–of–the–art 2009. Tech. rep., INESC Porto and Argonne National Laboratory (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Pinson, P., Nielsen, H., Madsen, H., Nielsen, T.: Local linear regression with adaptive orthogonal fitting for the wind power application. Statistics and Computing 18(1), 59–71 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Rabin, N., Coifman, R.: Heterogeneous datasets representation and learning using diffusion maps and laplacian pyramids. In: Proceedings of the 12th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining (SDM 2012), Anaheim, California, USA (April 2012)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Fernández Pascual, Á., Alaíz, C.M., González Marcos, A.M., Díaz García, J., Dorronsoro, J.R. (2012). Diffusion Maps and Local Models for Wind Power Prediction. In: Villa, A.E.P., Duch, W., Érdi, P., Masulli, F., Palm, G. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2012. ICANN 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7553. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33266-1_70

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33266-1_70

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-33265-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-33266-1

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics