Skip to main content

Integrating Heterogeneous Prediction Models in the Cloud

  • Conference paper
E-Life: Web-Enabled Convergence of Commerce, Work, and Social Life (WEB 2011)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing ((LNBIP,volume 108))

Included in the following conference series:

  • 2041 Accesses

Abstract

As the emergence and rapid growth of cloud computing, business intelligence service providers will host platforms for model providers to share prediction models for other users to employ. Because there might be more than one prediction models built for the same prediction task, one important issue is to integrate decisions made by all relevant models rather than adopting the decision from a single model. Unfortunately, the model integration methods proposed by prior studies are developed based on one single complete training dataset. Such restriction is not tenable in the cloud environment because most of model providers may be unwilling to share their valuable and private datasets. Even if all the datasets are available, the datasets from different sources may consist of different attributes and hard to train a single model. Moreover, a user is usually unable to provide all required attributes for a testing instance due to the lack of resources or capabilities. To address this challenge, a novel model integration method is therefore necessary. In this work, we aim to provide the integrated prediction result by consulting the opinions of prediction models involving heterogeneous sets of attributes, i.e., heterogeneous models. Specifically, we propose a model integration method to deal with the models under a given level of information disclosure by adopting a corresponding measure for determining the weight of each involved model. A series of experiments are performed to demonstrate that our proposed model integration method can outperform the benchmark, i.e., the model selection method. Our experimental results suggest that the accuracy of the integrated predictions can be improved when model providers release more information about their prediction models. The generalizability and applicability of our proposed method is also demonstrated.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Alpaydin, E.: Introduction to Machine Learning. The MIT Press (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bellotti, T., Crook, J.: Loss given default models incorporating macroeconomic variables for credit cards. International Journal of Forecasting (forthcoming)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Boyd, R.: Make your business app intelligent with the google prediction API (2011), http://googleappsdeveloper.blogspot.com/2011/06/make-your-business-app-intelligent-with.html

  4. Breiman, L.: Bagging predictors. Machine Learning 24(2), 123–140 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Dunn, L.F., Kim, T.H.: An empirical investigation of credit card default. Working Paper, Department of Economics. The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Freund, Y., Schapire, R.E.: Experiments with a new boosting algorithm. In: Proceedings of International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 148–156 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Hsieh, W.K., Liu, S.M., Hsieh, S.Y.: Hybrid neural network bankruptcy prediction: an integration of financial ratios, intellectual capital ratios, MDA and neural network learning. In: Proceedings of International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Economics and Finance (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kaynak, C., Alpaydin, E.: Multistage cascading of multiple classifiers: one man’s noise is another man’s data. In: Proceedings of International Conference on Maching Learning, pp. 455–462 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Ketter, W., Collins, J., Gini, M., Gupta, A., Schrater, P.: Detecting and forecasting economic regimes in multi-agent automated exchanges. Decision Support Systems 47(4), 275–560 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Kim, J., Won, C., Bae, J.K.: A knowledge integration model for the prediction of corporate dividends. Expert Systems with Applications 37(2), 1344–1350 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Kittler, J., Hatef, M., Duin, R.P.W., Matas, J.: On combining classifiers. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 20(3), 226–239 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Koh, H.C., Tan, W.C., Goh, C.P.: A two-step method to construct credit scoring models with data mining techniques. International Journal of Business and Information 1(1), 96–118 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Quinlan, J.: C4.5: Programs for Machine Learning. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers Inc. (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Ravi Kumar, P., Ravi, V.: Bankruptcy prediction in banks and firms via statistical and intelligent techniques - A review. European Journal of Operational Research 180(1), 1–28 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Re, M., Valentini, G.: Ensemble methods: a review. In Data Mining and Machine Learning for Astronomical Applications. Chapman & Hall (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Reyes, E. P.: A systems thinking approach to business intelligence solutions based on cloud computing (2010), http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/59267

  17. Schapire, R.E.: The strength of weak learnability. Machine Learning 5(2), 197–227 (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Steenackers, M.: A credit scoring model for personal loans. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 8(1), 31–34 (1989)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Wei, C., Chiu, I.: Turning telecommunications call details to churn prediction: a data mining approach. Expert System with Applications 23(2), 103–112 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Wolpert, D.H.: Stacked generalization. Neural Networks 5(2), 241–259 (1992)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Yang, C.S., Wei, C., Yuan, C.C., Schoung, J.Y.: Predicting the length of hospital stay of burn patients: Comparisons of prediction accuracy among different clinical stages. Decision Support Systems 50(1), 325–335 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Yeh, I.: The comparisons of data mining techniques for the predictive accuracy of probability of default of credit card clients. Expert Systems with Applications 36(2), 2473–2480 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Chen, HC., Wei, CP., Chen, YC., Lan, CW. (2012). Integrating Heterogeneous Prediction Models in the Cloud. In: Shaw, M.J., Zhang, D., Yue, W.T. (eds) E-Life: Web-Enabled Convergence of Commerce, Work, and Social Life. WEB 2011. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 108. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29873-8_29

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29873-8_29

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-29872-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-29873-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics