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Forecasting the Adoption of Emerging Energy Technologies: Managing Climate Change, Governance and Evolving Social Values

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Climate Change Governance

Part of the book series: Climate Change Management ((CCM))

Abstract

With the link between fossil fuel use and climate change now almost universally accepted, tackling greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) has become a subject of great social urgency and technological challenge. A variety of models exist, or are under development, for analyzing the role of more sustainable systems, such as renewable energy technologies, in mitigating climate change. However, the direct cost of these technologies is generally higher than that of fossil fuel systems. Methods are needed to more fully account for external factors, societal impacts, and social values associated with fossil fuels versus sustainable energy systems. This paper presents a conceptual model targeted at informing energy policy in order to bring about improvements to inform the management of energy resources so that they can be optimized for climate change. This would then yield a set of governance actions. The model builds on Linstone’s multiple perspectives: technical, organizational, and personal, by attempting to forecast technology development along these perspectives. Thus, factors enabling faster and better adoption by consumers, and faster and more efficient development by organizations are evaluated by taking the potential technological improvements into account.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Using full life cycle analysis, most forms of power generation are responsible for some amount of energy expenditure, such as fossil fuels used in the creation of parts or components of the system. The PV manufacturing process, for example, typically emits an amount of carbon equivalent to about 25 g of CO2 per kilowatt hour of electricity produced (25 gCO2/kWh). By contrast, coal emits about 950 gCO2/kWh.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Engineering and Technology Management, Portland State University, Portland, USA

    Tugrul Daim & Kelly Cowan

  2. Systems Science Department, Portland State University, Portland, USA

    Wayne Wakeland

  3. Howe School of Technology Management, Stevens Institute of Technology, Portland, USA

    Hosein Fallah & Patricia Holahan

Authors
  1. Tugrul Daim
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  2. Kelly Cowan
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  3. Wayne Wakeland
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  4. Hosein Fallah
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  5. Patricia Holahan
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Correspondence to Tugrul Daim .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. HafenCity Universiät Hamburg, Winterhuder Weg 29, Hamburg, 22085, Germany

    Jörg Knieling

  2. Wissenschaften Hamburg, Forschungs- und Transferzentrum,, Hochschule für Angewandte, Lohbruegger Kirchstr. 65, Hamburg, 21033, Germany

    Walter Leal Filho

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Daim, T., Cowan, K., Wakeland, W., Fallah, H., Holahan, P. (2013). Forecasting the Adoption of Emerging Energy Technologies: Managing Climate Change, Governance and Evolving Social Values. In: Knieling, J., Leal Filho, W. (eds) Climate Change Governance. Climate Change Management. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29831-8_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29831-8_8

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