Abstract
Probability is a concept familiar to the vast majority of readers on an intuitive level, however in a stricter sense it is generally poorly understood. A substantial fraction of this thesis draws ideas and tools from the rigorous theories of probability and thus it is apt to provide a fuller account of the rudimentary mathematical principles. This chapter does not aim to give an exhaustive exposition of probability theory (fuller discussion can be found in many existing texts, such as [2,5,10,11,16], but instead particular attention is given to the meaning of randomness, whereby a suitable parameterisation of the statistics involved can be formulated.
The scientist has a lot of experience with ignorance and doubt and uncertainty, and this experience is of very great importance, I think.Richard P. Feynman
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Notes
- 1.
Although relative frequency, defined as \(f=\lim _{N\rightarrow \infty }n/N\), where \(n\) is the number of occurrences of a particular outcome in \(N\) repetitions of the random experiment, is perhaps the most intuitive manner in which to define probabilities, an axiomatic definition as first formulated by Kolmogorov [14, 15], is sometimes preferred since there is no guarantee that this limit exists.
- 2.
If this assumption of independence between disjoint time intervals is relaxed one enters the domain of quantum light sources, which possess different photon statistics. For example photon number state sources [6] emit a single photon at very precisely defined regular times.
- 3.
It would therefore be expected that a Poisson random variable with a large mean would be well approximated by a Gaussian random variable, a result that is born out in practise.
- 4.
It should be noted that the derivation given is not strictly rigorous since it only proves convergence of the partition function \(\exp [i \omega Z_n]\). The reader is directed to [17] for a fuller treatment.
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Foreman, M.R. (2012). Fundamentals of Probability Theory. In: Informational Limits in Optical Polarimetry and Vectorial Imaging. Springer Theses. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-28528-8_2
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