Abstract
In this paper, we apply three multivariate GARCH models for estimation of dynamic hedge ratios. We provide an empirical comparison of the effectiveness of those models in the Russian and foreign financial markets. Dynamics and interdependence between futures’ and spot prices of assets are captured by vector error correction models; volatilities and correlations are modeled by dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Newey W. K., McFadden D. (1994). Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing. Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, Elsevier North-Holland.
Bystrom H. N. E., (2003). The hedging performance of electricity futures on the Nordic power exchange. Applied Economics, 35, 1–11.
Bollerslev T., Engle R., and Wooldridge J.M., (1988). A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time Varying Covariances. Journal of Political Economy, 96, 116–131.
Bollerslev T., (1990). Modelling the Coherence in Short-Run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH model. Review of Economics and Statistics, 52, 5–59.
Brooks C., Henry O. T., Persand G., (2002). The Effect of Asymmetries on Optimal Hedge Ratios. Journal of Business, 75, 333–352.
Cappiello, L., Engle R. F., Sheppard K., (2006). Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 4, 537–572.
Ederington L. H., (1979). The Hedging Performances of the New Futures Markets. Journal of Finance, 34, 157–170.
Engle R. F. Kroner K. F., (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11, 122–150.
Engle R. and Sheppard K., (2001). Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH. NBER Working Paper 8554.
Engle R. F., (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation. A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20, 339–350.
Hsiang-tai Lee, Jonathan Yoder, (2007). Optimal hedging with a regime-switching timevarying correlation GARCH model. The Journal of Futures Markets, 27, No. 5, 495–516.
Hull J. (2006). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 6th ed. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
Johnson, L. L., (1960). The theory of hedging and speculation in commodity futures. Review of Economic Studies, 27, 139–151.
Lien D., Tse Y. K., Tsui A. K. C., (2002). Evaluating the Hedging performance of the Constant- Correlation GARCH model. Applied Financial Economics, 12, 791–798.
Lutkepohl H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
Myers, R. J. and Thompson, S.R. (1989). Generalized Optimal Hedge Ratio Estimation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 71, 858–867.
Park H., Bera, A., (1987). Interest rate volatility, basis, and heteroscedasticity in hedging mortgages. American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association 15, 79–97.
Skintzi V. D., Xanthopolous-Sisinis S., (2007). Evaluation of correlation forecasting models for risk management. Journal of forecasting, 26, 497–526.
Tse Y., Tsui A. (2002). A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying correlations. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20, 351–362.
Yang W., Allen D., (2004). Multivariate GARCH hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness in Australian futures markets. Accounting and Finance, 45, 301–321.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Kolokolov, A. (2012). Hedging with Futures: Multivariante Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH. In: Sornette, D., Ivliev, S., Woodard, H. (eds) Market Risk and Financial Markets Modeling. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27931-7_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27931-7_9
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-27930-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-27931-7
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)