Statistical Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Intensity
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In the North Atlantic climate change experiment (Chap. 4), the Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) projected an increase of mean TC intensity under increasing greenhouse gas concentrations (Table 5.1 and Fig. 5.1). However, explicit projection of changes in intense storms (Category 3+, maximum lifetime wind speed greater than 50 m s−1) was not possible due to the limited horizontal resolution.
KeywordsReturn Period Generalize Extreme Value Exceedance Probability Generalize Pareto Distribution Intense Storm
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