Abstract
A systemic approach to innovative development, creation, and implementation of efficient mechanisms for innovation policy, sustainable financial sector reform, and ultimately, sustainable, balanced, and harmonious development of countries based on investment innovative models, calls for the creation and implementation of an innovative product to support strategic decision-making based on integrated indices and risks in a triune concept of sustainable ecological, social, and economic development in the global, regional, and national contexts. This chapter seeks to illustrate one approach to the indicated model, using the examples of South East Asia and Oceania, and taking into consideration the risks and opportunities for innovative development in these countries. This research incorporates the Environmental Performance Index (EPI).
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Notes
- 1.
“Sustainability risk” will be used interchangeably with “developmental risk”. This definition is in line with the approach used in the finance, risk management, and insurance industries.
- 2.
CO2 intensity reflects the emission intensity, or the average emission rate of CO2 from a given source relative to the intensity of a specific activity. Carbon intensity of the economy can be observed in two main relationships: energy intensity and carbon intensity of energy use.
- 3.
Completeness and integrity of environmental information is essential for the efficiency of the decision-making process related to global climate change adaptation and the application of innovative approaches to optimize use of the bio-capacity at a national level. In a modeling process unavailability of EPI information is considered as a penalty.
- 4.
The countries include Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Laos, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Vanuatu, Vietnam, Brunei Darussalam, China, Fiji, Hong Kong SAR, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand.
- 5.
UN Human Development Report (2009).
- 6.
World Bank (2008).
- 7.
Transparency International (2009).
- 8.
Kaufmann et al. (2007).
- 9.
Doing Business Report (2009).
- 10.
All underlying risk indicators are normalized to the scale [0; 1], where 0 indicates the weakest performance, and 1 the strongest performance.
- 11.
Due to underlying data limitation, Environmental Performance Index was not available for Hong Kong SAR, Samoa, Tonga, Vanuatu, Timor-Leste.
- 12.
Clustering is performed using the Ward agglomerative method.
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Appendices
Appendix 1: Grouping of Countries by Sustainable Development Index, Harmonization and Resilience to Global Risks
Country | Harmonization (G) | Sustainable development index (SD) | Resilience to global risks | Class by G and SD | Class by sustainability |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bangladesh | 0.83 | 1.09 | 0.23 | Low | High Risk |
Bhutan | 0.78 | 1.29 | 0.82 | Upper moderate | Low risk |
Brunei Darussalam | 0.93 | 1.50 | 0.84 | Very high | Lowest risk |
Cambodia | 0.88 | 1.12 | 0.36 | Low | Moderate risk |
China | 0.81 | 1.19 | 0.36 | Upper moderate | Moderate risk |
Fiji | 0.94 | 1.34 | 0.47 | High | Moderate risk |
Hong Kong SAR | 0.72 | 1.36 | 0.51 | Upper moderate | Low risk |
India | 0.97 | 1.07 | 0.41 | Low moderate | Moderate risk |
Indonesia | 0.92 | 1.22 | 0.34 | Low moderate | Moderate risk |
Lao People’s Democratic Republic | 0.82 | 1.25 | 0.54 | Upper moderate | Moderate risk |
Malaysia | 0.99 | 1.43 | 0.78 | High | Lowest risk |
Maldives | 0.95 | 1.38 | 0.59 | High | Low risk |
Mongolia | 0.68 | 1.01 | 0.36 | Very low | Moderate risk |
Myanmar | 0.92 | 1.08 | 0.13 | Low moderate | High risk |
Nepal | 0.73 | 1.23 | 0.56 | Upper moderate | Moderate risk |
Papua New Guinea | 0.87 | 1.05 | 0.38 | Low | Moderate risk |
Philippines | 0.92 | 1.39 | 0.45 | High | Moderate risk |
Samoa | 0.79 | 1.16 | 0.63 | Upper moderate | Low risk |
Singapore | 0.94 | 1.57 | 1.00 | Very high | Lowest risk |
Solomon Islands | 0.87 | 1.18 | 0.39 | Low | Moderate risk |
South Korea | 0.95 | 1.56 | 0.69 | Very high | Lowest risk |
Sri Lanka | 0.91 | 1.42 | 0.56 | High | Low risk |
Thailand | 0.95 | 1.32 | 0.71 | High | Low risk |
Timor-Leste | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.00 | Lowest | High risk |
Tonga | 0.71 | 1.10 | 0.53 | Very low | Low risk |
Vanuatu | 0.84 | 1.10 | 0.52 | Low | Moderate risk |
Vietnam | 0.91 | 1.27 | 0.46 | Low moderate | Moderate risk |
Appendix 2: Principal Component Analysis. Application to Risks
F1 | F2 | F3 | F4 | F5 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eigenvalue | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Variability (%) | 38 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 6 |
Cumulative (%) | 38 | 55 | 69 | 78 | 85 |
Factor loadings | |||
---|---|---|---|
F1 | F2 | F3 | |
GDP index | 0.89 | 0.13 | 0.24 |
Life expectancy index | 0.72 | 0.54 | 0.10 |
Education index | 0.96 | −0.06 | −0.17 |
EPI | 0.00 | 0.40 | −0.55 |
Disbalance between economic and human development | 0.47 | −0.61 | −0.46 |
AWS | 0.16 | 0.70 | 0.06 |
HIV | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.77 |
EDB | 0.82 | 0.07 | 0.01 |
CI | −0.08 | −0.52 | 0.28 |
CPI | 0.89 | −0.27 | −0.02 |
PSAV | 0.70 | −0.41 | 0.11 |
DRI | 0.29 | 0.34 | −0.56 |
Appendix 3: Principal Component Analysis. Application to Sustainable Development and Harmonization Indices
Eigenvectors | Factor loadings | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | F2 | F3 | F1 | F2 | F3 |
Economic | 0.71 | 0.01 | 0.71 | 0.97 | 0.01 | 0.24 |
Social | 0.71 | −0.06 | −0.71 | 0.97 | −0.06 | −0.24 |
Ecological | 0.03 | 1.00 | −0.05 | 0.04 | 1.00 | −0.02 |
Appendix 4: Correlations Among Key Risk Variables
Variables | GDP index | Life expectancy index | Education index | EPI | Disbalance between economic and human development | AWS | HIV | EDB | CI | CPI | PSAV | DRI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP index | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 0.69 | 0.03 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 0.10 |
Life expectancy I\index | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.03 | −0.13 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.65 | −0.30 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.42 |
Education index | 0.86 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.60 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.73 | −0.01 | 0.87 | 0.61 | 0.34 |
EPI | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.35 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.28 | 0.20 |
Disbalance between economic and human development | 0.24 | −0.13 | 0.60 | 0.14 | 1.00 | −0.19 | −0.26 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.02 |
AWS | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.35 | −0.19 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.14 | −0.20 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.08 |
HIV | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.14 | −0.14 | −0.26 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.24 | −0.22 |
EDB | 0.69 | 0.65 | 0.73 | −0.10 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 1.00 | −0.15 | 0.68 | 0.49 | 0.15 |
CI | 0.03 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.14 | 0.09 | −0.20 | 0.03 | −0.15 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.04 | −0.26 |
CPI | 0.77 | 0.41 | 0.87 | −0.03 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.68 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.15 |
PSAV | 0.47 | 0.31 | 0.61 | −0.28 | 0.54 | −0.14 | 0.24 | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.10 |
DRI | 0.10 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.08 | −0.22 | 0.15 | −0.26 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1.00 |
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Bakhtina, V. (2013). Sustainability Discussion with an Example of Selected Countries in Asia and Oceania. In: Golinska, P. (eds) EcoProduction and Logistics. EcoProduction. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23553-5_2
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