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Estimation of precipitation change over Greece during the 21st century, using RCM simulations

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Book cover Advances in the Research of Aquatic Environment

Part of the book series: Environmental Earth Sciences ((EESCI))

Abstract

In the present study, an estimation of the future change in precipitation within the 21st century was carried out for the 12 climatic zones of Greece. The estimation is based on the results of 12 Regional Climate Models (RCM) simulations of the ENSEMBLES Program. The precipitation is projected to decrease mildly in the near future (2021-2050) and moderately in the far future (2071-2100) by 5% and 20% respectively for the area of Greece. The decrease seems to be most prominent during spring and summer, less prominent during winter. The autumn precipitation is projected to increase mildly in the near future and to decrease mildly in the far future. The projected precipitation change in Greece is expected to result in drastic changes on the ground water balance and on several sectors of human activity and environment parameters, as well.

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Kapsomenakis, J., Nastos, P., Douvis, C., Eleftheratos, K., Zerefos, C. (2011). Estimation of precipitation change over Greece during the 21st century, using RCM simulations. In: Lambrakis, N., Stournaras, G., Katsanou, K. (eds) Advances in the Research of Aquatic Environment. Environmental Earth Sciences. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-19902-8_6

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