Abstract
Climate change has received much attention during the last decennium and especially various mitigation and adaptation strategies. Particularly the coastal zone will feel the consequences of climate change and the associated effects like sea level rise, increased storminess and flooding. Thus there is an urgent need for local and regional spatial planners to include climate change in their planning efforts. Using modelling and simulation, we can increase our understanding of the future land-use system under influence of a changing climate and accordingly reduce uncertainty concerning decisions. The current paper describes how land-use simulations combined with climate change scenarios represented by the SRES narratives can facilitate the definition of adaptation strategies to counteract the consequences of potential climate changes.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Barredo, J.I., Kasanko, M., McCormick, N., Lavalle, C.: Modelling dynamic spatial processes: Simulation of urban future scenarios through cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning 64, 145–160 (2003)
Danish Coastal Authority, Consequences of Climate Change for the Danish Coasts (2007) (in Danish)
Daugbjerg, P., Hansen, K.V.: Property Data. In: The Danish National Survey and Cadastre. Copenhagen (2000) (in Danish)
Engelen, G., White, R., Uljee, I.: The MURBANDY and MOLAND models for Dublin. Final report, RIKS (2002)
European Environment Agency, Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in Europe. EEA Technical report no. 7 (2005)
European Commission, Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on integrated Coastal Zone Management: A Strategy for Europe (2000)
European Commission Directive, 2001/42/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of June 27 2001 on the assessment of the effects of certain plans and programmes on the environment (2001)
European Commission Directive, 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of October 23 2007 on the assessment and management of flood risks (2007)
Hansen, H.S.: A quasi-four dimensional database for the built environment. In: Westort, C.Y. (ed.) DEM 2001. LNCS, vol. 2181, pp. 48–59. Springer, Heidelberg (2001)
Hansen, H.S.: An Adaptive Land-use Simulation Model for Integrated Coastal Zone Planning. In: The European Information Society. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, pp. 35–53 (2007)
Hansen, H.S.: Quantifying and Analysing Neighbourhood Characteristics Supporting Urban Land-use Modelling. In: The European Information Society. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, pp. 283–299 (2008)
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate Change 2001. The scientific basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2001)
Meier, H.E.M., Broman, B., Kjellström, E.: Simulated sea level in past and future climates of the Baltic Sea. Climate Research 27, 59–75 (2004)
NORCOAST, Recommendation on improved Integrated Coastal Zone Management in the North Sea Region. County of Northern Jutland (2000)
Nakicenovic, N., et al.: Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2004)
Selecki, W.D., Oliveri, C.: Downscaling climate change scenarios in an urban land use change model. Journal of Environmental Management 72, 105–111 (2004)
Tobler, W.R.: A computer movie simulating urban growth in the Detroit region. Economic Geography 46, 234–240 (1979)
Vedung, E.: Public Policy and Program Evaluation. Transaction Books (2000)
Verburg, P.H., Schot, P., Dijst, M.J., Veldkamp, A.: Land use changes modelling: current practice and research priorities. Geo. Journal 61, 309–324 (2004a)
Verburg, P.H., van Eck, R., Nijs, T., Dijst, M., Schot, P.: Determinants of land-use change patterns in the Netherlands. Environment and Planning B 31, 125–150 (2004)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Hansen, H.S. (2011). Urban Land-Use Projections Supporting Adaptation Strategies to Climate Changes in the Coastal Zone. In: Murgante, B., Borruso, G., Lapucci, A. (eds) Geocomputation, Sustainability and Environmental Planning. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 348. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-19733-8_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-19733-8_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-19732-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-19733-8
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)