Abstract
The urban water supply and demand model plays an important role in the simulation and sustainable utilization of urban water resources. The system dynamics (SD) approach is applied to construct the water supply and demand model of Tieling, which is used to simulate the development tendency of water resources and forecast the water demand in planning years. The practical verification on historical data shows that the relative error was small and the model is reliable. Furthermore, we present four modes to manage water resources in the paper. Through the comparison and analysis of the simulation results simulated by the proposed model in the paper under the four different modes, we can find that water supply is greater than water demand from 2005 to 2020 according to the second and fourth modes. That is, the water resources in Tieling are sustainable utilization if we take saving measures and pollution control measures on water resources.
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Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the National Prominent Special Project Foundation of China under Grant No. 2009ZX07526-006.
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Li, Y., Hu, C., Zhao, Y., Tan, X. (2011). Study on Sustainable Utilization of Water Resources in Tieling City Based on System Dynamics Approach. In: Wu, D., Zhou, Y. (eds) Modeling Risk Management for Resources and Environment in China. Computational Risk Management. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18387-4_35
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18387-4_35
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