Skip to main content

An Integrated Regional and On-Site Earthquake Early Warning System for Southern Italy: Concepts, Methodologies and Performances

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Early Warning for Geological Disasters

Abstract

We present an approach to Earthquake Early Warning for Southern Italy that integrates regional and on-site systems. The regional approach is based on the PRobabilistic and Evolutionary early warning SysTem (PRESTo) software platform. PRESTo processes 3-components acceleration data streams and provides a peak ground-motion prediction at target sites based on earthquake location and magnitude computed from P-wave analysis at few stations in the source vicinity. On the other hand, the on-site system is based on the real-time measurement of peak displacement and dominant period, on a 3 s P-wave time-window. These values are compared to thresholds, set for a minimum magnitude 6 and instrumental intensity VII, derived from empirical regression analyses on strong-motion data. Here we present an overview of the system and describe the algorithms implemented in the PRESTo platform. We also show some case-studies and propose a robust methodology to evaluate the performance of this Early Warning System.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Akkar S, Bommer JJ (2007) Empirical prediction equations for peak ground velocity derived from strong-motions records from europe and the middle east. Bull Seism Soc Am 97:511–530

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alcik H, Ozel O, Apaydin N, Erdik M (2009) A study on warning algorithms for Istanbul earthquake early warning system, Geophys Res Lett 36: L00B05. doi:10.1029/2008GL036659

  • Allen RM, Kanamori H (2003) The potential for earthquake early warning in southern California. Science 300:685–848

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen RM, Brown H, Hellweg M, Khainovski O, Lombard P, Neuhauser D (2009a) Real-time earthquake detection and hazard assessment by ElarmS across California. Geophys Res Lett 36: L00B08. doi:10.1029/2008GL036766

  • Allen RM, Gasparini P, Kamigaichi O, Böse M (2009b) The status of earthquake early warning around the world: an introductory overview. Seism Res Lett 80:682–693

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen RV (1978) Automatic earthquake recognition and timing from single traces. Bull Seism Soc Am 68:521–532

    Google Scholar 

  • Allen RV (1982) Automatic phase pickers: their present use and future prospects. Bull Seism Soc Am 72:225–242

    Google Scholar 

  • Baer M, Kradolfer U (1987) An automatic phase picker for local and teleseismic events. Bull Seism Soc Am 77:1437–1445

    Google Scholar 

  • Bagh S, Chiaraluce L, De Gori P, Moretti M, Govoni A, Chiarabba C, Di Bartolomeo P, Romanelli M (2007) Background seismicity in the central apennines of Italy: the Abruzzo region case study. Tectonophysics 444:80–92. doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2007.08.009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Böse M, Ionescu C, Wenzel F (2007) Earthquake early warning for Bucharest, Romania: novel and revised scaling relations, Geophys Res Lett 34. doi:10.1029/2007GL029396

  • Böse M, Hauksson E, Solanki K, Kanamori H, Heaton TH (2009) Real-time testing of the on-site warning algorithm in Southern California and its performance during the July 29, 2008 Mw 5.4 Chino Hills earthquake. Geophys Res Lett 36. doi:10.1029/2008GL036366

  • Cirella A, Piatanesi A, Cocco M, Tinti E, Scognamiglio L, Michelini A, Lomax A, Boschi E (2009) Rupture history of the 2009 L’Aquila (Italy) earthquake from non-linear joint inversion of strong motion and GPS data. Geophys Res Lett 36: L19304. doi:10.1029/2009GL039795

  • Colombelli S, Amoroso O, Zollo A, Kanamori H (2012) Test of a threshold-based earthquake early-warning method using Japanese data. Bull Seism Soc Am 102. doi:10.1785/0120110149

  • Emolo A, Convertito V, Cantore L (2011) Ground-motion predictive equations for low-magnitude earthquakes in the Campania-Lucania area, southern Italy. J Geophys Eng 8:46–60. doi:10.1088/1742-2132/8/1/007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Espinosa-Aranda JM, Cuellar A, Garcia A, Ibarrola G, Islas R, Maldonado S, Rodriguez FH (2009) Evolution of the Mexican Seismic Alert System. Seism Res Lett 80:694–706

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goldstein P, Dodge D, Firpoand M, Minner L (2003) SAC2000: Signal processing and analysis tools for seismologists and engineers. In: IASPEI international handbook of earthquake and engineering seismology

    Google Scholar 

  • Horiuchi S, Negishi N, Abe K, Kamimura K, Fujinawa Y (2005) An automatic processing system for broadcasting system earthquake alarms. Bull Seism Soc Am 95:347–353

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iannaccone G, Zollo A, Elia L, Convertito V, Satriano C, Festa G, Martino C, Lancieri M, Bobbio A, Stabile TA, Vassallo M, Emolo A (2010) A prototype system for earthquake early-warning and alert management in southern Italy. Bull Earthq Eng 8:1105–1129. doi:10.1007/s10518-009-9131-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lancieri M, Zollo A (2008) A Bayesian approach to the real time estimation of magnitude from the early P-and S-wave displacement peaks. J Geophys Res 113(B12302). doi:10.1029/2007JB005386

  • Lomax A, Satriano C, Vassallo M (2012) Automatic picker developments and optimization: FilterPicker—a robust, broadband picker for real-time seismic monitoring and earthquake early-warning. Seism Res Lett 83(3):531–540. doi:101785/gssrl.83.3.531

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maercklin N, Zollo A, Orefice A, Festa G, Emolo A, De Matteis R, Delouis B, Bobbio A (2011) The effectiveness of a distant accelerometer array to compute seismic source parameters: the April 2009 L’Aquila earthquake case history. Bull Seism Soc Am 101:354–365. doi:10.1785/0120100124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nakamura Y (1984) Development of earthquake early-warning system for the Shinkansen, some recent earthquake engineering research and practical in Japan. In: The Japanese national committee of the international association for earthquake engineering, pp 224–238

    Google Scholar 

  • Nakamura Y (1988) On the urgent earthquake detection and alarm system (UrEDAS). In: Proceedings of the 9th world conference earthquake engineering, vol 7, pp 673–678

    Google Scholar 

  • Odaka T, Ashiya K, Tsukada S, Sato S, Ohtake K, Nozaka D (2003) A new method of quickly estimating epicentral distance and magnitude from a single seismic record. Bull Seism Soc Am 93:526–532

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peng HS, Wu ZL, Wu YM, Yu SM, Zhang DN, Huang WH (2011) Developing a prototype earthquake early warning system in the Beijing capital region. Seism Res Lett 82:394–403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satriano C, Lomax A, Zollo A (2008) Real-time evolutionary earthquake location for seismic early warning. Bull Seism Soc Am 98:1482–1494

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satriano C, Elia L, Martino C, Lancieri M, Zollo A, Iannaccone G (2010) PRESTo, the earthquake early warning system for southern Italy: concepts, capabilities and future perspectives. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng. doi:10.1016/j.soildyn.2010.06.008

  • Wald DJ, Quitoriano V, Heaton TH, Kanamori H (1999) Relationships between peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity and modified mercalli intensity in California. Earthq Spectra 15:557–564

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wessel P, Smith WHF (1995) New version of the generic mapping tools released. EOS Trans AGU 76:329

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu YM, Kanamori H (2005) Rapid assessment of damage potential of earthquake in Taiwan from beginning of P waves. Bull Seism Soc Am 95:1181–1185. doi:10.1785/0120040193

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu YM, Kanamori H (2008) Development of an earthquake early warning system using real-time strong motion signals. Sensors 8:1–9

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu YM, Teng LT (2002) A virtual sub-network approach to earthquake early warning. Bull Seism Soc Am 92:2008–2018

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu YM, Zhao L (2006) Magnitude estimation using the first three seconds P-wave amplitude in earthquake early warning. Geophys Res Lett 33:L16312. doi:10.1029/2006GL026871

  • Zollo A, Amoroso O, Lancieri M, Wu YM, Kanamori H (2010) A threshold-based earthquake early warning using dense accelerometer networks. Geophys J Int 183:963–974

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zollo A, Iannaccone G, Convertito V, Elia L, Iervolino I, Lancieri M, Lomax A, Martino C, Satriano C, Weber E, Gasparini P (2009a) The earthquake early warning system in southern Italy. Encyc Complex Syst Sci 5:2395–2421. doi:10.1007/978-0-387-30440-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zollo A, Iannaccone G, Lancieri M, Cantore L, Convertito V, Emolo A, Festa G, Gallovič F, Vassallo M, Martino C, Satriano C, Gasparini P (2009b) Earthquake early warning system in southern Italy: methodologies and performance evaluation. Geophys Res Lett 36: L00B07. doi:10.1029/2008GL03668

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work was financially supported by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile (DPC) through Analisi e Monitoraggio del Rischio Ambientale (AMRA Scarl).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. Zollo .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Zollo, A. et al. (2014). An Integrated Regional and On-Site Earthquake Early Warning System for Southern Italy: Concepts, Methodologies and Performances. In: Wenzel, F., Zschau, J. (eds) Early Warning for Geological Disasters. Advanced Technologies in Earth Sciences. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12233-0_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics