Skip to main content

Reasoning with Uncertainty in Continuous Domains

  • Chapter
Integrated Uncertainty Management and Applications

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing ((AINSC,volume 68))

Abstract

Continuous constraint programming has been widely used to model safe reasoning in applications where uncertainty arises. Constraint propagation propagates intervals of uncertainty among the variables of the problem, eliminating values that do not belong to any solution. However, to play safe, these intervals may be very wide and lead to poor propagation. We proposed a probabilistic continuous constraint framework that associates a probabilistic space to the variables of the problem, allowing to distinguish between different scenarios, based on their likelihoods. In this paper we discuss the capabilities of the framework for decision support in nonlinear continuous problems with uncertain information. Its applicability is illustrated in inverse and reliability problems, which are two different types of problems representative of the kind of reasoning required by the decision makers.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Benhamou, F., McAllester, D., van Hentenryck, P.: CLP(intervals) revisited. In: ISLP, pp. 124–138. MIT Press, Cambridge (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bistarelli, S., Montanari, U., Rossi, F., Schiex, T., Verfaillie, G., Fargier, H.: Semiring-based CSPs and valued CSPs: Frameworks, properties and comparison. Constr. 4, 199–240 (1999)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  3. Carvalho, E., Cruz, J., Barahona, P.: Probabilistic continuous constraint satisfaction problems. In: ICTAI (2), pp. 155–162 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Carvalho, E., Cruz, J., Barahona, P.: Probabilistic reasoning for inverse problems. In: Advances in Soft Computing, vol. 46, pp. 115–128. Springer, Heidelberg (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Carvalho, E., Cruz, J., Barahona, P.: Probabilistic constraints for reliability problems. In: 25th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing. ACM, New York (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Deb, K., Gupta, D.P.S., Mall, A.K.: Handling uncertainties through reliability-based optimization using evolutionary algorithms (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Ditlevsen, O.: Narrow reliability bounds for structural system. J. St. Mech. 4, 431–439 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Fargier, H., Lang, J.: Uncertainty in constraint satisfaction problems: a probabilistic approach. In: Moral, S., Kruse, R., Clarke, E. (eds.) ECSQARU 1993. LNCS, vol. 747, pp. 97–104. Springer, Heidelberg (1993)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. Fiessler, B., Neumann, H.-J., Rackwitz, R.: Quadratic limit states in structural reliability. J. Engrg. Mech. Div. 105, 661676 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Granvilliers, L., Cruz, J., Barahona, P.: Parameter estimation using interval computations. SIAM J. Scientific Computing 26(2), 591–612 (2004)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Halder, A., Mahadevan, S.: Probability, Reliability and Statistical Methods in Engineering Design. Wiley, Chichester (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Halpern, J.Y.: Reasoning about Uncertainty. MIT Press, Cambridge (2003)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Hasofer, A.M., Lind, N.C.: Exact and invariant second-moment code format. J. Engrg. Mech. Div. (1974)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Hohenbichler, M., Rackwitz, R.: Non-normal dependent vectors in structural safety. J. Engrg. Mech. Div. 107, 1227–1238 (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Hohenbichler, M., Rackwitz, R.: First-order concepts in system reliability. Struct. Safety (1), 177–188 (1983)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Jaulin, L., Walter, E.: Set inversion via interval analysis for nonlinear bounded-error estimation. Automatica 29(4), 1053–1064 (1993)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  17. Kiureghian, A., Dakessian, T.: Multiple design points in first and second-order reliability. Structural Safety 20(1), 37–49 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Lhomme, O.: Consistency techniques for numeric CSPs. In: Proc. of the 13th IJCAI, pp. 232–238 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Moler, C.B.: Numerical Computing with Matlab. SIAM, Philadelphia (2004)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  20. Moore, R.: Interval Analysis. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1966)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  21. Shazeer, N., Littman, M., Keim, G.: Constraint satisfaction with probabilistic preferences on variable values. In: Proc. of National Conf. on AI (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Tarantola, A.: Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation. SIAM, Philadelphia (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Walsh, T.: Stochastic constraint programming. In: ECAI, pp. 111–115. IOS Press, Amsterdam (2002)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Carvalho, E., Cruz, J., Barahona, P. (2010). Reasoning with Uncertainty in Continuous Domains. In: Huynh, VN., Nakamori, Y., Lawry, J., Inuiguchi, M. (eds) Integrated Uncertainty Management and Applications. Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing, vol 68. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-11960-6_34

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-11960-6_34

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-11959-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-11960-6

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics