Towards a Possibility-Theoretic Approach to Uncertainty in Medical Data Interpretation for Text Generation

Abstract

Many real-world applications that reason about events obtained from raw data must deal with the problem of temporal uncertainty, which arises due to error or inaccuracy in data. Uncertainty also compromises reasoning where relationships between events need to be inferred. This paper discusses an approach to dealing with uncertainty in temporal and causal relations using Possibility Theory, focusing on a family of medical decision support systems that aim to generate textual summaries from raw patient data in a Neonatal Intensive Care Unit. We describe a framework to capture temporal uncertainty and to express it in generated texts by mean of linguistic modifiers. These modifiers have been chosen based on a human experiment testing the association between subjective certainty about a proposition and the participants’ way of verbalising it.