Skip to main content

On the Prognostic Value of Gene Expression Signatures for Censored Data

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Advances in Data Analysis, Data Handling and Business Intelligence
  • 2912 Accesses

Abstract

As part of the validation of any statistical model, it is good statistical practice to quantify the amount of prognostic information represented by the model; this includes gene expression signatures derived from high-dimensional microarray data. Several approaches exist for right-censored survival data that measure the gain in prognostic information compared to established clinical parameters or biomarkers in terms of explained variation or explained randomness. They are either model-based or use estimates of the prediction accuracy.

As these measures differ in their underlying mechanisms, they vary in their interpretation, assumptions and properties, in particular in how they deal with the presence of censoring. It remains unclear under which conditions and to which extent they are comparable. We present a comparison of several common measures and illustrate their behaviour in simulation examples and in an application to a real gene expression microarray data set.

These authors contributed equally to this work.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Binder, H., & Schumacher, M. (2008). Adapting prediction error estimates for biased complexity selection in high-dimensional bootstrap samples. Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, 7, 12.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Brier, G. W. (1950). Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Monthly Weather Review, 78, 1–3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cox, D. R., & Snell, E. J. (1989). The analysis of binary data (2nd ed.) London: Chapman and Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunkler, D., Michiels, S., & Schemper, M. (2007). Gene expression profiling: does it add predictive accuracy to clinical characteristics in cancer prognosis? European Journal of Cancer, 43, 745–751.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gerds, T. A., & Schumacher, M. (2006). Consistent estimation of the expected brier score in general survival models with right-censored event times. Biometrical Journal, 48, 1029–1040.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Graf, E., Schmoor, C., Sauerbrei, W., & Schumacher, M. (1999). Assessment and comparison of prognostic classification schemes for survival data. Statistics in Medicine, 18, 2529–2545.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kent, J. T., & O’Quigley, J. (1988). Measures of dependence for censored survival data. Biometrika, 75, 525–534.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Nagelkerke, J. D. N. (1991). A note on a general definition of the coefficient of determination. Biometrika, 78, 691–692.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • O’Quigley, J., Xu, R., & Stare, J. (2005). Explained randomness in proportional hazards models. Statistics in Medicine, 24, 479–489.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rosenwald, A., Wright, G., Chan, W. C., Connors, J. M., Campo, E., Fisher, R. I., et al. (2002). The use of molecular profiling to predict survival after chemotherapy for diffuse large-B-cell lymphoma. New England Journal of Medicine, 346, 1937–1947.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schemper, M., & Henderson, R. (2000). Predictive accuracy and explained variation in cox regression. Biometrics, 56, 249–255.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Tibshirani, R. (1996). Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 58, 267–288.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Xu, R., & O’Quigley, J. (1999). A measure of dependence for proportional hazards models. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 12, 83–107.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Manuela Zucknick .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Hielscher, T., Zucknick, M., Werft, W., Benner, A. (2009). On the Prognostic Value of Gene Expression Signatures for Censored Data. In: Fink, A., Lausen, B., Seidel, W., Ultsch, A. (eds) Advances in Data Analysis, Data Handling and Business Intelligence. Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-01044-6_61

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics