Skip to main content

Fuzzy Based Neuro - Genetic Algorithm for Stock Market Prediction

  • Chapter
Soft Computing for Data Mining Applications

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 190))

Abstract

Stock market prediction is a complex and tedious task that involves the processing of large amounts of data, that are stored in ever growing databases. The vacillating nature of the stock market requires the use of data mining techniques like clustering for stock market analysis and prediction. Genetic algorithms and neural networks have the ability to handle complex data. In this chapter, we propose a fuzzy based neuro-genetic algorithm - Fuzzy based Evolutionary Approach to Self Organizing Map(FEASOM) to cluster stock market data. Genetic algorithms are used to train the Kohonen network for better and effective prediction. The algorithm is tested on real stock market data of companies like Intel, General Motors, Infosys, Wipro, Microsoft, IBM, etc. The algorithm consistently outperformed regression model, backpropagation algorithm and Kohonen network in predicting the stock market values.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Shenoy, P.D., Srinivasa, K.G., Mithun, M.P., Venugopal, K.R., Patnaik, L.M.: Dynamic Subspace Clustering on Very Large High-Dimensional Databases. In: Liu, J., Cheung, Y.-m., Yin, H. (eds.) IDEAL 2003. LNCS, vol. 2690, pp. 850–854. Springer, Heidelberg (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Haykin, S.: Neural Networks, A Comprehensive Foundation. Pearson Education Inc., London (1999)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Shenoy, P.D., Srinivasa, K.G., Venugopal, K.R., Patnaik, L.M.: Evolutionary Approach for Mining Association Rules on Dynamic Databases. In: Whang, K.-Y., Jeon, J., Shim, K., Srivastava, J. (eds.) PAKDD 2003. LNCS, vol. 2637, pp. 325–336. Springer, Heidelberg (2003)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  4. Cox, E.: Fuzzy Modeling and Genetic Algorithms for Data Mining and Explorations. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  5. de Gooijer, J.G., Hyndman, R.J.: 25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review, TI 2005-068/4, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Zhang, G., Patuwo, B.E., Hu, M.Y.: Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks: The State of the Art. International Journal of Forecasting 14, 35–62 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Balkin, S.D., Ord, J.K.: Automatic Neural Network Modeling for Univariate Time Series. International Journal of Forecasting 16, 509–515 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Timmermann, A., Granger, C.W.J.: Efficient Market Hypothesis and Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 20, 15–27 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Leung, M.T., Daouk, H., Chen, A.-s.: Forecasting Stock Indicies: A Comparision of Classification and Level Estimation Models. International Journal of Forecasting 16, 173–190 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Kim, Y., et al.: Customer Targeting: A Neural Network Approach Guided by Genetic Algorithms, Technical Report, Management Sciences Department, University of Iowa, USA (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Bansal, A., Kauffman, R.J., Weitz, R.R.: Comparing the Modeling Performance of Regression and Neural Networks as Data Quality Varies: A Business Value Approach. Journal of Management Information Systems 10, 11–32 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Dorffner, G.: Neural Networks for Time Series Processing. Neural Network World 6(4), 447–468 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Egeli, B., Ozturan, M., Badur, B.: Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks. In: Hawaii International Conference on Business (June 2003)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Zekic, M.: MS Neural Network Applications in Stock Market Prediction - A Methodology Analysis. In: Proc. of 9th Intl’ Conf. Information and Intelligent Systems, pp. 255–263 (September 1998)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Lu, R., Mois, M., Pires, F.M.: Prediction Model, Based on Neural Networks, for Time Series with Origin in Chaotic Systems. In: Workshop on Artificial Intelligence for Financial Time Series Analysis (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Ciesielski, V., Palstra, G.: Using a Hybrid Neural/Expert System for Database Mining in Market Survey Data. In: Proc. of Intl’ Conf. on KDD 1996, pp. 36–43. AAAI Press, Menlo Park (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Ivakhnenko, A.G., Miiller, J.: Recent Developments of Self Organizing Modelling in Prediction and Analysis of Stock Market, http://www.inf.kiew.ua/GMDH-home

  18. Balakrishnan, K., Honavar, V.: Evolutionary Design of Neural Architectures: Prelimnary Taxonomy and Guide to Literature, Technical Report CS TR95-01, Department of Computer Science, Iowa State University (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Yao, X.: Evolutionary Artificial Neural Networks. Encyclopedia of Computer Science and Technology 33, 137–170 (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Armano, G., Murru, A., Roli, F.: Stock Market Prediction by a Mixture of Genetic-Neural Experts. IJPRAI 16(5), 501–526 (2002)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Venugopal, K.R., Srinivasa, K.G., Patnaik, L.M. (2009). Fuzzy Based Neuro - Genetic Algorithm for Stock Market Prediction. In: Soft Computing for Data Mining Applications. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 190. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-00193-2_7

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-00193-2_7

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-00192-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-00193-2

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics