Abstract
In this paper we claim that a combination of an agent-based model and a SIG-based environmental model can act as a “virtual laboratory” for epidemiology. Following the needs expressed by epidemiologists studying micro-scale dynamics of avian influenza in Vietnam, and after a review of the epidemiological models proposed so far, we present our model, built on top of the GAMA platform, and explain how it can be adapted to the epidemiologists’ requirements. One notable contribution of this work is to treat the environment, together with the social structure and the animals’ behaviors, as a first-class citizen in the model, allowing epidemiologists to consider heterogeneous micro and macro factors in their exploration of the causes of the epidemic.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Gilbert, M., Xiao, X., Pfeiffer, D.U., Epprecht, M., Boles, et al.: Mapping H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza risk in Southeast Asia. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 105, 4769–4774
Dung Nguyen, T., Vinh Nguyen, T., Vijaykrishna, D., Webster, R.G., Guan, Y., Peiris, J.S.M., Smith, G.J.D.: Multiple sublineages of influenza A virus (H5N1), Vietnam, 2005 2007, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 14, 4 (2008)
Agrifood consulting international: The Impact of Avian Influenza on Poultry Sector Restructuring and its Socio-economic Effects (2006)
Chen, H., Li, Y., Li, Z., Shi, J., Shinya, K., Deng, G., et al.: Properties and dissemination of H5N1 Viruses isolated during an influenza outbreak in migratory waterfowl in Western China. J. of Viro. 80, 5976–5983 (2006)
Ito, T., Okazaki, K., Kawaoka, Y., Takada, A., Webster, R.G., Kida, H.: Perpetuation of influenza A viruses in Alaskan waterfowl reservoirs. Arch. of Viro. 140(7), 1163–1172 (1995)
McKendrick, A.G.: Applications of mathematics to medical problems. Proc. of the Edinburgh Mathematical Society 44, 1–34 (1925)
Abbas, K., Mikler, A., Ramezani, A., Meneze, S.: Computational epidemiology: Bayesian disease surveillance. In: Proc. of ICBAm 2004 proceedings (2004)
Durand, B., Mahul, O.: An extended state-transition model for foot-and-mouth disease epidemics in France. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 47, 1–2 (2000)
Artzrouni, M., Gouteux, J.P., et al.: Population dynamics of sleeping sickness: A micro simulation. Simulation & Gaming 32(2), 215–227 (2001)
Brouwers, L.: MicroPox: a Large-scale and Spatially Explicit Microsimulation Model for Smallpox Transmission. In: Proc. of the Intl. Conf. of Health Sciences Simulation (2005)
Turner, J., Begon, M., Bowers, R.: Modelling pathogen transmission: the interrelationship between local and global approaches. Proc. Biol. Sci. 270(1510), 105–112 (2003)
Ghani, A.: Models for an Outbreak of Avian Influenza in the UK Poultry Flock, Journées de modélisation en épidémiologie animale du CIRAD (2007)
Wilensky, U.: NetLogo Virus model (1998), http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/models/Virus
Muller, G., Grébaut, P., Gouteux, J.P.: An agent-based model of sleeping sickness: simulation trials of a forest focus in southern Cameroon, Éd. Sc. et Méd. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2004)
Badariotti, D., Banos, A., Laperrière, V.: Vers une approche individu-centrée pour modéliser et simuler l’expression spatiale d’une maladie transmissible: la peste à Madagascar, cybergeo (2007), http://www.cybergeo.eu/index9052.html
Bénédicte, S.J.: Atlas Bac Hung Hai, Gret (personnal communication) (1999)
Desvaux, S., Vu, D.-T.: A general review and description of the poultry production in Vietnam. Agricultural publishing house (2008)
Amouroux, E., Chu, T.Q., Boucher, A., Drogoul, A.: GAMA: an environment for implementing and running spatially explicit multi-agent simulations. LNCS (LNAI). Springer, Heidelberg (2007)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Amouroux, E., Desvaux, S., Drogoul, A. (2008). Towards Virtual Epidemiology: An Agent-Based Approach to the Modeling of H5N1 Propagation and Persistence in North-Vietnam. In: Bui, T.D., Ho, T.V., Ha, Q.T. (eds) Intelligent Agents and Multi-Agent Systems. PRIMA 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 5357. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-89674-6_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-89674-6_6
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-89673-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-89674-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)