Skip to main content

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 168))

Abstract

The rapid expansion of corporate computer networks, the rise of the World Wide Web (WWW), and exploding computational power are some of the most visible innovations shaping our increasingly knowledge-based society. The growing demand for interconnectivity and interoperability gives rise to systems of ever-greater complexity. These include systems of systems, whose subsystems are systems in their own right, often geographically distributed and exhibiting ownership and/or managerial independence. Along with the increasing complexity of systems comes a growing demand for systems that act intelligently and adaptively in response to their environments. There is a need for systems that can process incomplete, uncertain and ambiguous information, and can learn and adapt to environments that require interoperating with other intelligent, adaptive complex systems.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Booker, L.B., Hota, N.: Probabilistic reasoning about ship images. In: Proceedings of the Second Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. Elsevier, New York (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  • Buntine, W.L.: Learning with Graphical Models. Technical Report No. FIA-94-03. NASA Ames Research Center, Artificial Intelligence Research Branch (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  • De Raedt, L., Kersting, K.: Probabilistic Logic Learning. ACM-SIGKDD Explorations: Special Issue on Multi-Relational Data Mining 5(1), 31–48 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Calvanese, D., De Giacomo, G.: Expressive Description Logics. In: Baader, F., Calvanese, D., McGuiness, D., Nardi, D., Patel-Schneider, P. (eds.) The Description Logics Handbook: Theory, Implementation and Applications, ch. 5, 1st edn., pp. 184–225. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Charniak, E.: Bayesian Networks without Tears. AI Magazine 12, 50–63 (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  • Costa, P.C.G., Laskey, K.B.: PR-OWL: A Framework for Probabilistic Ontologies. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Formal Ontology in Information Systems (FOIS 2006), Baltimore, MD, USA, November 9-11 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  • Costa, P.C.G.: Bayesian Semantics for the Semantic Web. Doctoral dissertation. In: Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research, p. 312. George Mason University, Fairfax (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Druzdzel, M.J., van der Gaag, L.C.: Building Probabilistic Networks: Where do the Numbers Come From - A Guide to the Literature, Guest Editors’ Introduction. IEEE Transactions in Knowledge and Data Engineering 12, 481–486 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Getoor, L., Taskar, B.: Introduction to Statistical Relational Learning. MIT Press, Cambridge (2007)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gilks, W., Thomas, A., Spiegelhalter, D.J.: A language and program for complex Bayesian modeling. The Statistician 43, 169–178 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansson, O., Mayer, A.: Heuristic Search as Evidential Reasoning. In: Henrion, M. (ed.) Proceedings of the Fifth Workshop on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1989). Elsevier, New York (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  • Heckerman, D., Meek, C., Koller, D.: Probabilistic Models for Relational Data. MSR-TR-2004-30. Microsoft Corporation, Redmond (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Heckerman, D., Mamdami, A., Wellman, M.P.: Real-World Applications of Bayesian Networks. Communications of the ACM 38(3), 24–30 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jaeger, M.: Relational Bayesian Networks. In: The 13th Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1997), Providence, RI, USA, August 1-3 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaeger, M.: Probabilistic role models and the guarded fragment. In: Proceedings IPMU 2004, pp. 235–242 (2006); Extended version in Int. J. Uncertain. Fuzz. 14(1), 43–60 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  • Jensen, F.V., Nielsen, T.: Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs, 2nd edn. Springer, Heidelberg (2007)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kersting, K., De Raedt, L.: Adaptive Bayesian Logic Programs. In: Rouveirol, C., Sebag, M. (eds.) ILP 2001. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 2157, p. 104. Springer, Heidelberg (2001)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Koller, D., Levy, A.Y., Pfeffer, A.: P-CLASSIC: A Tractable Probabilistic Description Logic. In: The Fourteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI 1997), Providence, RI, USA, July 27-31 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Koller, D., Pfeffer, A.: Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks. In: The Thirteenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1997), San Francisco, CA, USA (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kolmogorov, A.N.: Foundations of the Theory of Probability, 2nd edn. Chelsea Publishing Co., New York (1960) (Originally published in 1933)

    Google Scholar 

  • Korb, K.B., Nicholson, A.E.: Bayesian Artificial Intelligence. Chapman and Hall, Boca Raton (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Langseth, H., Nielsen, T.: Fusion of Domain Knowledge with Data for Structured Learning in Object-Oriented Domains. Journal of Machine Learning Research 4, 339–368 (2003)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Laskey, K.B.: MEBN: A Language for First-Order Bayesian Knowledge Bases. Artificial Intelligence 172(2-3) (2007), http://ite.gmu.edu/~klaskey/papers/Laskey_MEBN_Logic.pdf

  • Laskey, K.B., Costa, P.C.G.: Of Klingons and Starships: Bayesian Logic for the 23rd Century. In: Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Proceedings of the Twenty-first Conference. AUAI Press, Edinburgh (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  • Laskey, K.B., Mahoney, S.M.: Network Fragments: Representing Knowledge for Constructing Probabilistic Models. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1997), Providence, RI, USA (August 1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mahoney, S.M., Laskey, K.B.: Network Engineering for Agile Belief Network Models. IEEE Transactions in Knowledge and Data Engineering 12(4), 487–498 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murphy, K.: Dynamic Bayesian Networks: Representation, Inference and Learning. Computer Science Division, University of California, Berkeley (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  • Neapolitan, R.E.: Learning Bayesian Networks. Prentice-Hall, New York (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearl, J.: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo (1988)

    Google Scholar 

  • Pfeffer, A.: Probabilistic Reasoning for Complex Systems. Stanford University, Stanford (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  • Spiegelhalter, D.J., Thomas, A., Best, N.: Computation on Graphical Models. Bayesian Statistics 5, 407–425 (1996)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Spiegelhalter, D.J., Franklin, R., Bull, K.: Assessment, criticism, and improvement of imprecise probabilities for a medical expert system. In: Henrion, M. (ed.) Proceedings of the Fifth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1989). Elsevier, New York (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  • Stone, L.D., Barlow, C.A., Corwin, T.L.: Bayesian multiple target tracking. Artech House, Boston (1999)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Takikawa, M., d’Ambrosio, B., Wright, E.: Real-time inference with large-scale temporal Bayes nets. In: Breese, J., Koller, D. (eds.) Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 2001). Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo (2001)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Laskey, K.B., Costa, P.C.G. (2009). Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning in Complex Systems. In: Tolk, A., Jain, L.C. (eds) Complex Systems in Knowledge-based Environments: Theory, Models and Applications. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 168. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-88075-2_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-88075-2_2

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-88074-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-88075-2

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics