Skip to main content

An Exposition of NCaRBS: Analysis of US Banks and Moody’s Bank Financial Strength Rating

  • Chapter

Part of the book series: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing ((STUDFUZZ,volume 230))

Abstract

This chapter centres on a novel classification technique called NCaRBS (N-state Classification and Ranking Belief Simplex), and the analysis of Moody’s Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR). The rudiments of NCaRBS are based around uncertain reasoning, through Dempster-Shafer theory. As such, the analysis is undertaken with the allowed presence of ignorance throughout the necessary operations. One feature of the analysis of US banks on their BFSR, is the impact of missing values in the financial characteristic values describing them. Using NCaRBS, unlike other traditional techniques, there is no need to externally manage their presence. Instead, they are viewed as contributing only ignorance. The comparative results shown on different versions of the US bank data set allows the impact to the presence of missing values to be clearly exposited. The use of the simplex plot method of visualizing data and analysis results furthers the elucidation possible with NCaRBS.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Beynon, M.J.: A Novel Technique of Object Ranking and Classification under Ignorance: An Application to the Corporate Failure Risk Problem. European Journal of Operational Research 167, 493–517 (2005a)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Beynon, M.J.: A Novel Approach to the Credit Rating Problem: Object Classification Under Ignorance. International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management 13, 113–130 (2005b)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bodenhofer, U., Hüllermeier, E., Klawonn, F., Kruse, R.: Special issue on soft computing for information mining. Soft Computing 11, 397–399 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dempster, A.P.: A generalization of Bayesian inference (with discussion). J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Series B 30, 205–247 (1968)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Denœux, T., Zouhal, L.M.: Handling possibilistic labels in pattern classification using evidential reasoning. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 122, 409–424 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Fan, H.-Y., Lampinen, J.: A Trigonometric Mutation Operation to Differential Evolution. Journal of Global Optimization 27, 105–129 (2003)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Gerig, G., Welti, D., Guttman, C.R.G., Colchester, A.C.F., Szekely, G.: Exploring the discrimination power of the time domain for segmentation and characterisation of active lesions in serial MR data. Medical Image Analysis 4, 31–42 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huisman, M.: Imputation of Missing Item Responses: Some Simple Techniques. Quality & Quantity 34, 331–351 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones, P., Beynon, M.J.: Temporal support in the identification of e-learning efficacy: An example of object classification in the presence of ignorance. Expert Systems 24(1), 1–16 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones, A.L., Beynon, M.J., Holt, C.A., Roy, S.: A novel approach to the exposition of the temporal development of post-op osteoarthritic knee subjects. Journal of Biomechanics 39(13), 2512–2520 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lokupitiya, R.S., Lokupitiya, E., Paustian, K.: Comparison of missing value imputation methods for crop yield data. Environmetrics 17, 339–349 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Moody’s: Rating Definitions - Bank Financial Strength Ratings (2004), www.moodys.com

  • Pal, S.K., Ghosh, A.: Soft computing data mining. Information Sciences 176, 1101–1102 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Poon, W.P.H., Firth, M., Fung, M.: A multivariate analysis of the determinants of Moody’s bank financial strength ratings. Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money 9, 267–283 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rubin, D.B.: Inference and missing data. Biometrika 78, 609–619 (1976)

    Google Scholar 

  • Safranek, R.J., Gottschlich, S., Kak, A.C.: Evidence Accumulation Using Binary Frames of Discernment for Verification Vision. IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation 6, 405–417 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schafer, J.L., Graham, J.W.: Missing Data: Our View of the State of the Art. Psychological Methods 7(2), 147–177 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shafer G.A.: Mathematical theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1976); Shafer G., Srivastava R.: The Bayesian and belief-function formalisms: A general perspective for auditing. Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory (1990); Reprinted in Pearl J, Shafer G, (eds.); Readings in Uncertain Reasoning. pp. 482–521. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, CA)

    Google Scholar 

  • Srivastava, R.P., Liu, L.: Applications of Belief Functions in Business Decisions: A Review. Information Systems Frontiers 5(4), 359–378 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Velagic, J., Lacevic, B., Perunicic, B.: A 3-level autonomous mobile robot navigation system designed by using reasoning/search approaches. Robotics and Autonomous Systems 54, 989–1004 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Bhanu Prasad

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Beynon, M.J. (2008). An Exposition of NCaRBS: Analysis of US Banks and Moody’s Bank Financial Strength Rating. In: Prasad, B. (eds) Soft Computing Applications in Business. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, vol 230. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-79005-1_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-79005-1_6

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-79004-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-79005-1

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics