Skip to main content

Can Earthquake Size be Controlled by the Initial Seconds of Rupture?

  • Chapter
Book cover Earthquake Early Warning Systems

Abstract

It has been argued that the dominant period T p derived from the initial seconds of a seismogram, hence only depending on the initial phases of earthquake rupture, seems to scale with the final size of the earthquake. We provide a physical interpretation for the observed scaling and explain how the final earthquake size could be controlled by the initial phase of rupture.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Aki K (1979) Characterization of barriers on an earthquake fault. J Geophys Res 84:6140–6148

    Google Scholar 

  • Aki K, Richards P (2002) Quantitative Seismology. University Science Books

    Google Scholar 

  • Barenblat GI (1959) The formation of equilibrium cracks during brittle fracture: General ideas and hypothesis, axially symmetric cracks. J Appl Math Mech 23:434–444

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouchon M (1979) Predictability of ground displacement and velocity near an earthquake fault: the Parkfield earthquake of 1966. J Geophys Res 84:6149–6156

    Google Scholar 

  • Broberg KB (1999) Cracks and Fracture. Academic Press, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunham EM, Archuleta RJ (2005) Near-source ground motion from steady state dynamic rupture pulses. Geophys Res Lett 32:L03302, doi:10.1029/2004GL021793

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Feder (1992) An introduction to fractal geometry. University Press

    Google Scholar 

  • Freund LB (1979) The mechanics of dynamic shear crack propagation. J Geophys Res 84:2199–2209

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Griffith AA (1921) The phenomena of rupture and flow of solids. Phil Trans Roy Soc London 221:163–198

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heaton T (1990) Evidence for and implications of self-healing pulses of slip in earthquake rupture. Phys Earth and Planet Int 64:1–20

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ida Y (1973) Cohesive force across he tip of a longitudinal shear crack and Griffith’s specific surface energy. J Geophys Res 77:3796–3805

    Google Scholar 

  • Irwin (1957) Analysis of stresses and strains near the end of a crack traversing a plate. Jour Appl Mech Trans ASME 79:361–364

    Google Scholar 

  • Nielsen, Madariaga (2003) On the self-healing fracture pulse. Bull Seismol Soc Am

    Google Scholar 

  • Olson EL, Allen RM (2005) The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture. Nature 438:212–215, doi:10.1038/nature04214

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rice JR, Sammis CG, Parsons R (2005) Off-Fault Secondary Failure Induced by a Dynamic Slip Pulse. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 95(1):109134, doi: 10.1785/0120030166

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen RM, Kanamori H (2003) The Potential for Earthquake Early Warning in Southern California. Science 300:786–789

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoffe EH (1951) The moving Griffith crack. Phil Mag 42:739–750

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Nielsen, S. (2007). Can Earthquake Size be Controlled by the Initial Seconds of Rupture?. In: Gasparini, P., Manfredi, G., Zschau, J. (eds) Earthquake Early Warning Systems. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72241-0_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics