Abstract
Climate change has received much attention during the last decennium and especially various mitigation and adaptation strategies. Particularly the coastal zone will feel the consequences of climate change and the associated effects like sea level rise, increased storminess and flooding. Thus there is an urgent need for local and regional spatial planners to include climate change in their planning efforts. Using modelling and simulation, we can increase our understanding of the future land-use system under influence of a changing climate and accordingly reduce uncertainty concerning decisions. The current paper describes how land-use simulations combined with climate change scenarios can facilitate the definition of adaptation strategies to counteract the consequences of potential climate changes.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate Change 2001. The scientific basis. Cambridge University Press (2001)
European Environment Agency. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in Europe. EEA Technical report no. 7/2005
Hansen, H.S.: An Adaptive Land-use Simulation Model for Integrated Coastal Zone Planning. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography, pp. 35–53. The European Information Society (2007)
COM. Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament on integrated Coastal Zone Management: A Strategy for Europe (2000)
NORCOAST. Recommendation on improved Integrated Coastal Zone Management in the North Sea Region. County of Northern Jutland (2000)
Nakicenovic, N., et al.: Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2000)
Meier, H.E.M., Broman, B., Kjellström, E.: Simulated sea level in past and future climates of the Baltic Sea. Climate Research 27, 59–75 (2004)
Danish Coastal Authority. Consequences of Climate Change for the Danish Coasts (in Danish) (2007)
Barredo, J.I., Kasanko, M., McCormick, N., Lavalle, C.: Modelling dynamic spatial processes: Simulation of urban future scenarios through cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning 64, 145–160 (2003)
Engelen, G., White, R., Uljee, I.: The MURBANDY and MOLAND models for Dublin. Final report, RIKS (2002)
Hansen, H.S.: Quantifying and Analysing Neighbourhood Characteristics Supporting Urban Land-use Modelling. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography (in press, 2008)
Verburg, P.H., Schot, P., Dijst, M.J., Veldkamp, A.: Land use changes modelling: current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 61, 309–324 (2004)
Verburg, P.H., van Eck, R., Nijs, T., Dijst, M., Schot, P.: Determinants of land-use change patterns in the Netherlands. Environment and Planning B 31, 125–150 (2004)
Daugbjerg, P., Hansen, K.V.: Property Data. The Danish National Survey and Cadastre. Copenhagen, 2000 (In Danish) (2000)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Hansen, H.S. (2008). The Impact of Climate Change on Future Land-Use in a Coastal Zone Planning Context. In: Gervasi, O., Murgante, B., Laganà, A., Taniar, D., Mun, Y., Gavrilova, M.L. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2008. ICCSA 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 5072. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69839-5_19
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69839-5_19
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-69838-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-69839-5
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)