Skip to main content

Modeling Knowledge: Model-based Decision Support and Soft Computations

  • Chapter
Applied Decision Support with Soft Computing

Part of the book series: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing ((STUDFUZZ,volume 124))

Abstract

This chapter provides an overview of model-based support for modern decision making. It starts with discussing basic elements of decision making process, including characteristics of complex decision problems, concepts of rationality, and various requirements for model-based support at different stages of decision making process. Then the characteristics of models, and of modeling processes aimed at decision-making support for complex problems are presented. In this part guidelines for model specification and instantiation are illustrated by an actual complex model. This is followed by a discussion of modern methods of model analysis, which include a more detailed discussion of reference point optimization methods, and an outline of methods for sensitivity analysis, and of softly constrained inverse simulation. Finally, an overview of architecture of model-based decision support system is presented.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Ackoff, R.: 1967, Management misinformation systems, Management Science 14 (4), 43–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Ackoff, R.: 1979, The future of operational research is past, Journal of OR Society 30 (2), 93–104.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  3. Amann, A. and Makowski, M.: 2000, Effect–focused air quality management, in [81], pp. 367–398. ISBN 0–7923–6327–2.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Antoine, J., Fischer, G. and Makowski, M.: 1997, Multiple criteria land use analysis, Applied Mathematics and Computation 83(2–3), 195–215 (available also as IIASAs RR-98–05).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Axelrod, R.: 1984, The Evolution of Cooperation, Basic Books, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Bergson, H.: 1903, Introduction à la métaphysique, Revue de la métaphysique et de morale 11, 1–36 (translated by T.E. Hulme as Introduction to Metaphysics, New York, 1913 and 1949).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Bertalanffy, L. von: 1968, General Systems Theory: Foundations, Development, Applications, Braziller, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Bosc, P. and Kacprzyk, J.: 1995, Fuziness in Database Management Systems, Springer Verlag, Berlin, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Carlsson, C. and Fullér, R.: 2002, Fuzzy Reasoning in Decision Making and Optimization, Physica Verlag, New York.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Cartwright, N.: 1999, The Dappled World. A Study of the Boundaries of Science, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Chapman, C.: 1988, Science, engineering and economics: OR at the interface, Journal of Operational Research Society.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Charnes, A. and Cooper, W.: 1967, Management Models and Industrial Applications of Linear Programming, J. Wiley Sons, New York, London.

    Google Scholar 

  13. Charnes, A. and Cooper, W.: 1977, Goal programming and multiple objective optimization, J. Oper. Res. Soc 1, 39–54.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Codd, E.: 1970, A relational model for large shared data banks, Comm. ACM 13 (6), 377–387.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Dreyfus, H. and Dreyfus, S.: 1986, Mind over Machine: The Role of Human Intuition and Expertise in the Era of Computers, Free Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  16. Edwards, P.: 2001, Representing the global atmosphere: Computer models, data, and knowledge about climate change, in C. Miller and P. Edwarrds (eds), Changing the Atmosphere. Expert Knowledge and Environmental Governance, The MIT Press, Cambridge, London, pp. 31–65.

    Google Scholar 

  17. Emery, J.: 1987, Management Information Systems, The Critical Strategic Resource, Oxford University Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  18. Fink, E.: 2002, Changes of Problem Representation, Springer Verlag, Berlin, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  19. Glushkov, V.: 1972, Basic principles of automation in organizational management systems, Upravlayushcheye Sistemy i Mashiny.

    Google Scholar 

  20. Granat, J. and Makowski, M.: 2000, Interactive Specification and Analysis of Aspiration-Based Preferences, EJOR 122(2), 469–485 (available also as IIASAs RR-00–09).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Granat, J. and Wierzbicki, A. P.: 1994, Interactive specification of DSS user preferences in terms of fuzzy sets, Working Paper WP-94–29, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

    Google Scholar 

  22. Grauer, M., Thompson, M. and Wierzbicki, A. (eds): 1985 Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision ProcessesVol. 248 of Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical SystemsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York

    Google Scholar 

  23. Hacking, I.: 1964 Scientific RevolutionsOxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  24. Hloyningen-Huene, P.: 1993, Restructuring Scientific Revolutions, The University of Chicago Press, London.

    Google Scholar 

  25. Isermann, H. and Steuer, R. E.: 1987, Computational experience concerning payoff tables and minimum criterion values over the efficient set European J. Oper. Res. 33 91–97

    Google Scholar 

  26. Kahneman, D and Tversky, A.: 1982, The psychology of preferences, Scientific American 246, 160–173.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Keeney, R. and Raiffa, H.: 1976, Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs, J. Wiley Sons, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  28. Knight, J.: 2002, Statistical error leaves pollution data up in the air, Nature 417 (13), 677.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Kuhn, T.: 1964, A function of thought experiments, in I. Hacking (ed.), Scientific Revolutions, Oxford University Press, Oxford (originally published in L ‘aventure de la science, Melanges Alexandre Koyre, Vol. 2, pp. 307–334, Hermann, Paris 1964 ).

    Google Scholar 

  30. Kuhn, T.: 1970, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  31. Lewandowski, A. and Wierzbicki, A. (eds): 1989 Aspiration Based Decision Support Systems: Theory Software and ApplicationsVol. 331 of Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical SystemsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York

    Google Scholar 

  32. Liu, B.: 2002, Theory and Practice of Uncertain Programming, Springer Verlag, Berlin, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  33. 33. Lorentz, K.: 1965 Evolution and Modification of Behavior: A Critical Examination of the Concepts of the “Learned” and the “Innate” Elements of BehaviorThe University of Chicago Press, Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  34. Maclean, D.: 1985, Rationality and equivalent redescriptions, in M. Grauer, M. Thompson and A. Wierzbicki (eds) Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision ProcessesVol. 248 of Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical SystemsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York, pp. 83–94

    Google Scholar 

  35. Makowski, M.: 1994a, LP-DIT, Data Interchange Tool for Linear Programming Problems, (version 1.20), Working Paper WP-94–36,International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria (available on-line from http://www.iiasa.ac.at/marek/pubs ).

  36. Makowski, M.: 1994b, Methodology and a modular tool for multiple criteria analysis of LP models, Working Paper WP-94–102,International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria (available on-line from http://www.iiasa.ac.at/marek/pubs).

  37. Makowski, M.: 2000, Modeling paradigms applied to the analysis of European air quality, EJOR 122(2), 219–241 (available also as IIASA’s RR-00–06).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Makowski, M.: 2001, Modeling techniques for complex environmental problems, in M. Makowski and H. Nakayama (eds), Natural Environment Management and Applied Systems Analysis, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, pp. 41–77.

    Google Scholar 

  39. Makowski, M.: 2003, Structured modeling technology, EJOR (to appear).

    Google Scholar 

  40. Makowski, M. and Granat, J.: 2000, Interfaces, in [81], pp. 283–307.

    Google Scholar 

  41. Makowski, M. and Wierzbicki, A.: 2000, Architecture of decision support systems, in [81], pp. 48–70.

    Google Scholar 

  42. Makowski, M. and Wierzbicki, A.: 2002, Modeling knowledge in global information networks, in KBN (ed.), Importance of ICT for Research an Science,KBN, Warsaw, p. 14 (draft version available from http://www.iiasa.ac.at/ marek/pubs/prepub.html).

    Google Scholar 

  43. Makowski, M., Somlyódy, L. and Watkins, D.: 1996, Multiple criteria analysis for water quality management in the Nitra basin, Water Resources Bulletin 32 (5), 937–951.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Ogryczak, W.: 1996, A note on modeling multiple choice requirements for simple mixed integer programming solvers, Computers ê4 Operations Research 23, 199–205.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  45. Ogryczak, W. and Zorychta, K.: 1996, Modular optimizer for mixed integer programming, MoMIP version 2.3, Working Paper WP-96–106, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

    Google Scholar 

  46. Paczynski, J., Makowski, M. and Wierzbicki, A.: 2000, Modeling tools, in [81], pp. 125–165.

    Google Scholar 

  47. Pawlak, Z.: 1991, Rough Sets. Some Aspects of Reasoning about Knowledge, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht.

    Google Scholar 

  48. Polak, E.: 1976, On the approximation of solutions to multiple criteria decision making problems, in M. Zeleny (ed.), Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Springer-Verlag, New York (originally published in L ‘aventure de la science, Melanges Alexandre Koyre, Vol. 2, pp. 307–334, Hermann, Paris 1964 ).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Popper, K.: 1959, The Logic of Scientific Discovery, Hutchinson, London.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  50. Popper, K.: 1975, The rationality of scientific revolutions, in R. Harre (ed.), Problems of Scientific Revolution, University Press, Oxford, pp. 72–101.

    Google Scholar 

  51. Popper, K.: 1983, Realism and the Aim of Science, Hutchinson, London.

    Google Scholar 

  52. Pospelov, G. and Irikov, V.: 1976, Program-and Goal-Oriented Planning and Management, Sovietskoye Radio, Moscow.

    Google Scholar 

  53. Radermacher, F.: 1994, Decision support systems: Scope and potential, Decision Support Systems 12 (4/5), 257–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Raiffa, H.: 1997, Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures of Choices Under Uncertainty, MacGraw-Hill Companies, New York, Tokyo, Toronto.

    Google Scholar 

  55. Rapoport, A.: 1989, Decision Theory and Decision Behaviour, Normative and Descriptive Approaches, Vol. 15 of Theory and Decision Library, Mathematical and Statical Methods, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Boston, London.

    Google Scholar 

  56. Ruan, D., Kacprzyk, J. and Fedrizzi, M. (eds): 2001, Soft Computing for Risk Evaluation and Management, Physica—Verlag, Heidelberg and New York.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  57. Sakawa, M.: 1993, Fuzzy Sets and Interactive Multiobjective Optimization, Plenum Press, New York, London.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  58. Sawaragi, Y., Nakayama, H. and Tanino, T.: 1985 Theory of Multiobjective OptimizationAcademic Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  59. Seo, F. and Sakawa, M.: 1988 Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis in Regional Planning: Concepts Methods and ApplicationsD. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  60. Simon, H.: 1955, A behavioral model of rational choice Quarterly Journal of Economics 69 99–118

    Google Scholar 

  61. Simon, H.: 1957 Models of ManJ. WileySons, Chichester, New York

    Google Scholar 

  62. Simon, H.:1958 Administrative Behavior a Study of Decision Making Process in Administrative OrganizationMacmillan, New York

    Google Scholar 

  63. Sprague, R.: 1983, A framework for the development of decision support systems Decision Support Systems: A Data Based Model-Oriented User-Developed DisciplinePetrocelli, Princeton, N.J

    Google Scholar 

  64. Springer, S. and Deutsch, G.: 1981, Left Brain - Right Brain, Freeman, San Francisco.

    Google Scholar 

  65. Steuer, R.: 1986 Multiple Criteria Optimization: Theory Computation and ApplicationJ. WileySons, New York

    Google Scholar 

  66. Stewart, T.: 1992, A critical survey on the status of multiple criteria decision making theory and practice OMEGA International Journal of Management Science 20(5/6), 569–586

    Google Scholar 

  67. Tukey, J.: 1977 Exploratory Data AnalysisJohn Wiley Sons, New York

    Google Scholar 

  68. Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D.: 1985, The framing of decisions and philosophy of choice, in G. Wright (ed.), Behavioral Decision Making, Plenum, New York, pp. 25–42.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  69. Vollmer, G.: 1984, Mesocosm and objective knowledge, in [83].

    Google Scholar 

  70. Wierzbicki, A.: 1977, Basic properties of scalarizing functionals for multiobjective optimization Mathematische Operationsforschung and Statistik s. Optimization 8 55–60

    Google Scholar 

  71. Wierzbicki, A.: 1980, The use of reference objectives in multiobjective optimization, in G. Fandel and T. Gal (eds) Multiple Criteria Decision Making Theory and ApplicationsVol. 177 of Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical SystemsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York, pp. 468–486

    Google Scholar 

  72. Wierzbicki, A.: 1982, A mathematical basis for satisficing decision making Mathematical Modelling 3(5), 391–405

    Google Scholar 

  73. Wierzbicki, A.: 1984, Models and Sensitivity of Control Systems, Elsevier-WNT, Amsterdam, Warsaw.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  74. Wierzbicki, A.: 1986, On the completeness and constructiveness of parametric characterizations to vector optimization problems, OR Spektrum 8, 73–87.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  75. Wierzbicki, A.: 1992a, Multi-objective modeling and simulation for decision support, Working Paper WP-92–80, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

    Google Scholar 

  76. Wierzbicki, A.: 1992b, Multiple criteria games: Theory and applications Working Paper WP-92–79International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

    Google Scholar 

  77. Wierzbicki, A.: 1992c, The role of intuition and creativity in decision making, Working Paper WP-92–78, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

    Google Scholar 

  78. Wierzbicki, A.: 1993, On the role of intuition in decision making and some ways of multicriteria aid of intuition, Multiple Criteria Decision Making 6, 65–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  79. Wierzbicki, A. and Makowski, M.: 2000, Modeling for knowledge exchange: Global aspects of software for science and mathematics, in P. Wouters and P. Schröder (eds), Access to Publicly Financed Research, NIWI, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, pp. 123–140.

    Google Scholar 

  80. Wierzbicki, A. and Wessels, J.: 2000, The modern decision maker, in [81], pp. 29–46.

    Google Scholar 

  81. Wierzbicki, A., Makowski, M. and Wessels, J. (eds): 2000, Model-Based Decision Support Methodology with Environmental Applications, Series: Mathematical Modeling and Applications, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  82. Wuketits, F.: 1984a, Evolutionary epistemology - a challenge to science and philosophy, in Concepts and Approaches in Evolutionary Epistemology [83].

    Google Scholar 

  83. Wuketits, F. (ed.): 1984b, Concepts and Approaches in Evolutionary Epistemology, D. Reidel Publishing Co., Dordrecht.

    Google Scholar 

  84. Yu, P.L.: 1985 Multiple-Criteria Decision Making: Concepts Techniques and ExtensionsPlenum Press, New York, London

    Google Scholar 

  85. Yu, P.L.: 1990 Forming Winning Strategies An Integrated Theory of Habitual DomainsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York

    Google Scholar 

  86. Yu, P.L.: 1995 Habitual Domains: Freeing Yourself from the Limits on Your LifeHighwater Editions, Shawnee Mission, Kansas

    Google Scholar 

  87. Zadeh, L.A.: 1965, Fuzzy sets, Information and Control 8, 338–353.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  88. Zadeh, L.A. and Kacprzyk, J.: 1999 Computing with Words in Information/Intelligent Systems: FoundationsSpringer Verlag, Berlin, New York

    Google Scholar 

  89. Zeleny, M.: 1974, A concept of compromise solutions and the method of the displaced ideal, Comput. Oper. Res 1, 479–496.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  90. Zimmermann, H.: 1978, Fuzzy programming and linear programming with several objective functions, Fuzzy Sets and Systems 1, 45–55.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  91. Zimmermann, H.: 1985, Fuzzy Set Theory - and Its Applications, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, Dordrecht, Lancaster.

    Google Scholar 

  92. Zimmermann, H.: 1987, Fuzzy Sets, Decision Making, and Expert Systems, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, Dordrecht, Lancaster.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2003 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Makowski, M., Wierzbicki, A.P. (2003). Modeling Knowledge: Model-based Decision Support and Soft Computations. In: Yu, X., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Applied Decision Support with Soft Computing. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, vol 124. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-37008-6_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-37008-6_1

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-53534-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-37008-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics