22.6 Summary and Conclusions
Our limited knowledge on the dynamics of managed and unmanaged ecosystems has curtailed our ability to predict the effects of global change on the ecosystem goods and services that societies rely upon for their wealth and development. Global change terrestrial transects have proved to be an important and useful scientific approach to study the spatial and temporal dynamics of multiple drivers and complex responses. Although a number of studies on global change and terrestrial ecosystems have been done during the recent decade, much remains to be learned of the interactive effects of multiple drivers and their spatial and temporal dynamics which this chapter has presented. In addition, it is recognized that the study of global change not only needs fully effective cooperation of scientists in China, but also needs connection with relevant studies world-wide.
In order to improve integrative global change studies in China and develop the capability to predict the responses of terrestrial ecosystems to global change in China, the following research fields will require further development over the next decade: (1) mechanisms driving responses of terrestrial ecosystems to global change; (2) shifts and adaptation of vegetation and ecosystems to global change; (3) index system of plant functional types of China combined with remote sensing techniques; (4) soil responses to global change; (5) parameterization and scaling techniques in models to study ecosystem dynamics from landscape to regional scales; (6) development of coupled models of the carbon balance, and vegetation dynamics, and atmospheric circulation and climate in order to simulate responses and feedbacks of terrestrial ecosystems to atmosphere and climate changes; and (7) establishment of an information system of terrestrial ecosystems including continuous observations, databases, ecosystem models, and expert systems to observe and predicts changes in terrestrial ecosystems, and to inform policy makers.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Canadell JG, Steffen W, White PS (2002) IGBP/GCTE terrestrial transects: dynamics of terrestrial ecosystems under environmental change. Journal Vegetation Science 13:297–448
Feng ZW, Wang XK, Wu G (1999) Biomass and productivity of forest ecosystems in China, Science Press, Bejing. PRC
Gao Q, Zhang XS (1997) A simulation study of responses of the northeast China transect to elevated CO2 and climate change. Ecological Applications 7(2):470–483
Gao Q, Yu M, Zhang X, Guan F (1997) Dynamic modeling on responses of Northeast China Transect to global change — a remote sensing driven regional vegetation model. Acta Botanica Sinica 39:800–810
GCET (1995) The terrestrial transacts: science plan. IGBP of ICSU, report 36, Stockholm
IGBP (1995) Spatial extrapolation and modeling on IGBP transects. Global Change Report 36:15–20
Jiang GM, Tang HP, Yu M, Dong M, Zhang X (1999) Response of photosynthesis of different plant functional types to environmental changes along Northeast China Transect. Trees — Structure and Function 14:72–82
Li QS, Wang ZQ (1997) Influence of climate change on Chinese agroecological system and our countermeasures. Research on and Probe into Ecology, edited by Yan Lijiao. China Environmental Science Press, Beijing, PRC
Lai R, Kimble JM, Follett RF (1999) Agricultural practices and policies for carbon sequestration in soil. In: Recommendation and Conclusions of the International Symposium, 19–23 July 1999, Columbus, OH, USA, 12
Lin E, Li Y, Guo L (2002) Carbon emissions and sinks in agroecosystems of China. Science in China (Series C) 45(Supp.):30–39
Liu C (1993) The impacts of climate change on water resources and its agricultural countermeasures. In: Deng G (ed) The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in China. Beijing SciTech Publishing House, Beijing, PRC, pp 167–183
Lorius C, Jouzel J, Raynaud D, Hansen J, Treut HL (1990) The icecore record: climate sensitivity and future greenhouse warming. Nature 347:139–145
Luo SM, Peng SL (1996) Agroecosystem Analysis. Guangzhou: Guangdong Science and Technology Press, Guangzhou, PRC
Martin Parry (1990) Climate Change And World Agriculture. London: Earthscan Publications Limited
Melillo JM, McGuire AD, Kicklighter DW, Moore IIIB, Vorosmarty CJ, Schloss AL (1993) Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature 363:234–240
Neilson R P (1995) A model for predicting continental-scale vegetation distribution and water balance. Ecol. Appl. 5:362–285
Parton WJ, Scurlock JM, Ojima DS, Gilmanov TG, Scholes RJ, Schimel DS, Kirchner T, Menaut JC, Seastedt T, Garcia Moya E, Apinan K, Kinyamario JI (1993) Observations and modeling of biomass and soil organic matter dynamics for the grassland biome worldwide, Global Biogeochemical Cycles 7:785–809
Peng SL (1997) Global change and its effects. Ecologic Science 15: 1–9
Peng SL, Ren H (1996) South Subtropical Forest Community Dynamic. Academical Press, Beijing, PRC
Peng SL, Ren H (1998) The ecological energetics of lower subtropical forest ecosystem. Meteorological Press, Beijing, PRC
Prentice IC, Cramer W, Harrison SP, Leemans R, Monserud RA, Solomon AM (1992) A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate. Journal of Biogeography 19:117–134
Qin D, Ding Y, Su J, Ren J, Wang S, Wu R, Yang X, Wang S, Liu S, Dong G, Lu Q, Huang Z, Du B, Luo Y (2005) Assessment of climate and environment changes in China (I): climate and environment changes in China and their projection. Adv. Clim. Change Res 1:4–9
Running SW, Hunt Jr. ER (1993) Generalization of a forest ecosystem process model for other biomes, BIOME-BGC, and an application for global-scale models, pp 141–158: In: Ehleringer and C. Field [eds], Scaling Physiological Processes: Leaf to Globe, Academic Press, Orlando, USA
Teng L, Ren H, Peng SL (2000) The Natural Situation of North South Transect of Eastern China. Ecologic Science 19:1–10
Tieszen LL, Detling J (1983) Productivity of grassland and tundra. In: Lange OL, Nobel PS, Osmond CB, Ziegler H (eds) Encyclopedia of plant physiology. Vol. 13D. Physiological plant Ecology IV. Ecosystem processes: mineral cycling, productivity and man’s influence, pp 173–202. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, DE
Wang WJ (1965) A preliminary study on structure and ecological characteristic of the main forest communities in Nanwutaishan, north of Qinling Mountain. Acta Phytoecologica et Geobatanica Sinica 3:298–306
Xu DY, Guo QS, Yan H (1997) Study on the impacts of climate change on forests in China. Chinese Science and Technology Press, Beijing, PRC
Ye DZ, Chen PQ (eds) (1992) The pilot study of global change in China. Earthquake Press, Beijing, PRC
Yu M, Gao Q, Zhang X (2002) Responses of vegetation structure and primary production of a forest transect in eastern China to global change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 11:223–236
Zhang XS (1993) Study on the system of climate-vegetation classification in global change. Fourth Epoch Research 2:157–169
Zhang XS (1994) The terrestrial ecosystem research under global change. Annual report of Laboratory of Quantitative Vegetation Ecology, 41–52
Zhou G, Wang Y, Wang S (2002) Responses of grassland ecosystems to precipitation and land use along the Northeast China Transect. Journal of Vegetation Science 13:361–368
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Zhou, G., Peng, S., Zhou, L., Wang, Y., Xu, Z. (2007). Global Change Impacts on Agroecosystems of Eastern China. In: Canadell, J.G., Pataki, D.E., Pitelka, L.F. (eds) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Global Change — The IGBP Series. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-32730-1_22
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-32730-1_22
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-32729-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-32730-1
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)