Plant Disease Incursion Management
- 948 Downloads
An incursion management model was developed to estimate the regional economy effects of a potential exotic pest or disease incursion in the agricultural sector. By developing an agent based spatial model that integrates the biophysical aspects of the disease incursion with the agricultural production system and the wider regional economy the model can be used to analyze the effectiveness and economic implications of alternative management strategies for a range of different incursion scenarios. A case study application of the model investigates the impact of a potential incursion of Karnal bunt in wheat in a valuable agricultural producing region of Australia.
KeywordsPlanning Horizon Social Dilemma Neighboring Property Case Study Region Karnal Bunt
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
- 1.CIE (Centre for International Economics): A Tale of Two Models: A more detailed look at the Karnal bunt case study, Report prepared for Plant Health Australia, Canberra (2002)Google Scholar
- 2.Murray, G.: Pest Risk Analysis on Karnal Bunt of Wheat. Risk Analysis Report, NSW Agriculture, Sydney (1998)Google Scholar
- 3.Brennan, J.P., Warham, E.J.: Economic losses from Karnal bunt of wheat in Mexico. In: CIMMYT Economics Working Paper 90/02, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre, Mexico (1990)Google Scholar
- 4.CIRAD (Centre de coopération internationale en recherche agronomique pour le développement): CORMAS: Natural Resouces and Agent-Based Simulations, Montpellier, France (2003), http://cormas.cirad.fr/indexeng.htm
- 5.ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics): Agricultural Census, Canberra, Australia (2001)Google Scholar
- 6.ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics): Australian National Accounts, Input–Output Multipliers 1989-1990, cat. no. 5237.0, Canberra, AustraliaGoogle Scholar
- 7.Elliston, L., Hinde, R., Yainshet, A.: Karnal Bunt: The Regional Economic Effects of a Potential Incursion. ABARE eReport 04.4 Prepared for Plant Health Australia, Canberra, Australia (2004), freely available for download from http://www.abareonlineshop.com
- 9.Nagarajan, S., Aujla, S.S., Nanda, G.S., Sharma, I., Goel, L.B., Kumar, J., Singh, D.V.: Karnal bunt (Tilletia indica) of wheat – a review. Review of Plant Pathology 76(12), 1207–1214Google Scholar
- 10.Stansbury, C.D., McKirdy, S.J., Diggle, A.J., Riley, I.T.: Modeling the risk of entry, establishment, spread, containment and economic impact of Tilletia indica, the cause of Karnal bunt of wheat, using an Australian context. Phytopathology 92(3), 321–331Google Scholar