Abstract
This paper presents a discussion about how conditions for efficient and effective mitigation, follow-up and post-auditing are influenced by uncertainty in EIA predictions, lack of communication about such uncertainty and lack of transparency in prediction processes. As a conclusion, it is discussed how better communication about uncertainty and more transparent prediction processes can improve the conditions for efficient and effective follow-up and post-auditing, and thereby also for protection of the environment.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Andrews R N L (1988) Environmental impact assessment and risk assessment: learning from each other. In: Wathern P (ed) Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice. Routledge, London
Arts J, Caldwell P, Morrison-Saunders A (2001) Environmental impact assessment followup: good practice and further discussions — findings from a workshop at the IAIA 2000 conference. In Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal 19(3)
Barker A, Wood C (1999) An evaluation of EIA system performance in eight EU countries. Environmental Impact Assessment Review 19(4):387–404
Bisset R, Tomlinson P (1988) Monitoring and auditing of impacts, in Peter Wathern (ed) Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice. Routledge, London
Buckley R (1992) How Accurate Are Environmental Impact Predictions? Ambio, 20(3–4) May 1991
CEC — Commission of the European Communities (1997) Council Directive 97/11/EC amending Directive 85/337/EEC on the assessment of certain public and private projects on the environment. Official Journal L73/5, 3 March
De Jongh P (1988) Uncertainty in EIA. In Peter Wathern (ed.) Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice. Routledge, London
Department of Environment (1994) Guide on Preparing Environmental Statements for Planning Projects. Consultation Draft, DOE, London
Dipper B, Jones C, Wood C (1998) Monitoring and Post-auditing in Environmental Impact Assessment: A Review. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, volume 41(6):731–748
Duinker PN (1985) Forecasting environmental impacts: better quantitative and wrong than qualitative and untestable. In: Sadler B (ed) Audit and Evaluation in Environmental Assessment and Management: Canadian and International Experience, Proceedings of the Conference on Follow-up/ Audit of EIA Results
Emmelin L (1998) Evaluating Environmental Impact Assessment-Part 2: Professional Culture as an Aid in Understanding Implementation. Scandinavian Housing and Planning Research 15:187–209
Emmelin L, Kleven T (1999) A paradigm of Environmental Bureaucracy? Attitudes, thought styles, and world views in the Norwegian environmental administration. NIBR’s Pluss Series 5-99
Flyvbjerg B, Bruzelius N, Rothengatter W (2003) Megaprojects and risk. An anatomy of ambition. Cambridge University Press
Flyvbjerg B, Holm MS, Buhl S (2002) Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects. Error or Lie? Journal of the American Planning Association 68(3):pages 279–295
Geneletti D, Beinat E, Chung CF, Fabbri AG, Scholten H-J (2003) Accounting for uncertainty factors in biodiversity impact assessment: lessons from a case study. Environmental Impact Assessment Review 23 (2003):471–487
Glasson J, Therivel R, Chadwick A (2005) Introduction to Environmental Impact Assessment, 3rd edition. Routledge
Glasson J (1994) Life after the decision: The Importance of Monitoring in EIA. Built Environment 20(4)
Lee N, Wood C (1980) Methods of environmental impact assessment for use in project appraisal and physical planning, Occasional Paper no. 7, University of Manchester
Marshal R, Arts J, Morrison-Saunders A (2005) International principles for best practice EIA follow-up. Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal 23(3)
Morrison-Saunders A, Arts J (eds) (2004) Assessing Impact: Handbook of EIA and SEA Follow-up. Earthscan James and James, London
Munro DA. (1987) Learning from experience: auditing environmental impact assessment. In B. Sadler (ed) Audit and Evaluation in Environmental Assessment and Management: Canadian and International Experience, Proceedings of the Conference on Follow-up/ Audit of EIA Results
Norwegian Ministry of the Environment (2003) Environmental impact assessment. Oslo, Norway
Sadler B (1988) The evaluation of assessment: post-EIS research and process development. In Peter Wathern (ed) Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice. Routledge, London
Sánchez LE, Casteli Figueireo AL (2005): On the successful implementation of mitigation measures. In Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal, volume 23, number 3
Teigland J (2000) Impact Assessments as Policy and Learning Instrument. Why Effect Predictions Fail, and How Relevance and Reliability can be Improved. Ph.D. thesis 2000 Roskilde University
Tennøy A (2003) Prediksjoner og usikkerhet i trafikkfaglige rapporter i KU. (Predictions and uncertainty in reports on traffic-related issues in EIA. With an English summary) NIBR report 2003:13
Tennøy A, Kværner J, Gjerstad KI (2006) Uncertainty in environmental impact assessment predictions — the need for better communication and more transparency. Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal 24(1):45–56
Wachs M (1990) Ethics and Advocacy in Forecasting for Public Policy. Business & professional ethics journal, vol.9, nos. 1 & 2.
Wathern P (1990) An introductory guide to EIA. In Peter Wathern (ed) Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice. (Routledge, London)
Wood C (1995) Environmental Impact Assessment. A Comparative Review. Longman
Wood C, Dipper B, Jones C (2000) Auditing the Assessments of the Environmental Impacts of Planning Projects. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 43(1):23–47
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Springer-Verlag
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Tennøy, A. (2008). Consequences of EIA Prediction Uncertainty on Mitigation, Follow-Up and Post-Auditing. In: Schmidt, M., Glasson, J., Emmelin, L., Helbron, H. (eds) Standards and Thresholds for Impact Assessment. Environmental Protection in the European Union, vol 3. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-31141-6_35
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-31141-6_35
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-31140-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31141-6
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)