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Motive individuellen Wahlverhaltens in Nebenwahlen: Eine theoretische Rekonstruktion und empirische Überprüfung

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Wahlen und Wähler

Die Theorie der Nebenwahlen ist das dominierende Paradigma für die Untersuchung weniger wichtiger Wahlen (vgl. Marsh/Mikhaylov 2008). Kurz zusammengefasst sagt diese Theorie, dass – verglichen mit der vorangegangenen nationalen Hauptwahl – in Nebenwahlen (a) die Wahlbeteiligung geringer ist, (b) Regierungsparteien verlieren und (c) kleine Parteien sowie (d) Parteien, die ideologische Extrempositionen einnehmen, gewinnen. Es handelt sich hierbei jedoch nicht um statische Regelmäßigkeiten. Vielmehr wohnt diesen Vorgängen eine gewisse Dynamik inne, da sie je nach Position einer Nebenwahl im nationalen Hauptwahl-Zyklus stärker oder schwächer ausgeprägt sind. Insbesondere ist von Bedeutung, dass (e) Regierungsparteien umso größere Verluste einfahren, je näher sich eine Nebenwahl der Mitte des nationalen Hauptwahlzyklus annähert (vgl. Reif/Schmitt 1980; Reif 1984, 1997).

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Authors
  1. Hermann Schmitt
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  2. Alberto Sanz
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  3. Daniela Braun
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Oscar W. Gabriel Bernhard Weßels Jürgen W. Falter

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© 2009 VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften | GWV Fachverlage GmbH

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Schmitt, H., Sanz, A., Braun, D. (2009). Motive individuellen Wahlverhaltens in Nebenwahlen: Eine theoretische Rekonstruktion und empirische Überprüfung. In: Gabriel, O.W., Weßels, B., Falter, J.W. (eds) Wahlen und Wähler. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-91666-8_24

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-91666-8_24

  • Publisher Name: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-531-16413-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-531-91666-8

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