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Zukunft und Auswirkungen der Artificial Intelligence

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Artificial Intelligence — Eine Einführung

Part of the book series: Leitfäden der angewandten Informatik ((XLAI,volume 2))

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Zusammenfassung

Lange Zeit hindurch sah es nicht so aus. 1958 hatten Herbert Simon und Allan Newell unvorsichtigerweise prognostiziert: „Within ten years a digital computer will be the world’s chess champion, unless the rules bar it from competition; a digital computer will discover and prove an important mathematical theorem; most theories in psychology will take the form of computer programs, or of qualitiative statements about the characteristics of computer programs“ (Simon and Newell, 1958). Dieser Satz wird auch heute noch oft von uninformierten AI Kritikern (es gibt auch infomierte) als Argument verwendet. Obwohl diese Vorhersagen schon zum Teil erfüllt wurden — Schachprogramme haben Meisterstärke, AI Programme haben mathematische Theoreme gefunden und bewiesen (z.B. Lenat, 1979), psychologische Theorien werden als Computerprogramme dargestellt (z.B.Minsky, 1982) — war diese Prognose reichlich verfrüht. Eine der Ursachen, warum Simon und Newell eine solche „starke“ Aussage machten, war ihre Annahme, daß aufgrund der ersten Erfolge der AI ein gewaltiger Zustrom von Forschern und Geldmitteln erfolgen würde.

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© 1986 B. G. Teubner Stuttgart

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Trappl, R. (1986). Zukunft und Auswirkungen der Artificial Intelligence. In: Artificial Intelligence — Eine Einführung. Leitfäden der angewandten Informatik, vol 2. Vieweg+Teubner Verlag, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-93997-5_10

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-93997-5_10

  • Publisher Name: Vieweg+Teubner Verlag, Wiesbaden

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-519-12473-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-322-93997-5

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