Skip to main content

Risiko, Ungewißheit und Kernkraft

  • Chapter
  • 366 Accesses

Zusammenfassung

Der Zweck dieses Kapitels ist es, etwas Licht auf die Wahl zwischen alternativen Methoden der Energieerzeugung zu werfen, vor der die meisten westlichen Gesellschaften in den letzten Jahrzehnten gestanden haben. Das Hauptaugenmerk liegt dabei auf Kernenergie verglichen mit anderen Formen der Energieerzeugung. Ich werde dabei nicht für die Überlegenheit einer bestimmten Form der Energieerzeugung oder einer bestimmten Kombination solcher Formen plädieren, denn es handelt sich um ein im höchsten Maße technisches Gebiet, auf dem mein Wissen stark beschränkt und veraltet ist. Dennoch hoffe ich, daß mein Sachverstand ausreicht, um Struktur und Merkmale des Problems diskutieren zu können, ohne allzu offensichtlichen Unsinn zu reden.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   49.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   74.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Literatur

  • Alision, G. (1971): The essence of decision. Boston, Mass., Little, Brown.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arrow, K. (1963): Social choice and individual values. New York, Wiley (2. Aufl.).

    Google Scholar 

  • Arrow, K.; Hurwicz, L. (1972):“An optimality criterion for decision-making under uncertainty”.

    Google Scholar 

  • S. 1–11, in: C.F. Carter; J.L. Ford (Hrsg.): Uncertainty and expectation in economics. Clifton, NJ, Kelley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Aspremont, C.d’ Gevers, L. (1977): “Equity and the informational basis of collective choice”. Review of Economic Studies 44, S. 199–209.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cohen, G.A. (1978): Karl Marx’s theory of history: A defence. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cyert, R.M.; March, J.G. (1963): A behavioral theory of the firm. Englewood Cliffs, NJ, Prentice Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • David, P. (1975): Technical choice, innovation and economic growth. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Demand and Conservation Panel of the Committee on Nuclear and Alternative Energy Systems (1978):

    Google Scholar 

  • US energy demand: Some low energy futures. Science 200, 5. 142–152.

    Google Scholar 

  • Diamond, P.; Rotschild, M. (Hrsg.) (1978): Uncertainty in economics. New York, Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elster, J. (1978): Logic and society. London, Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elster, J. (1979): Ulysses and the sirens. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Feiveson, H.; von Hippel, F.; Williams, R. (1979): “Fission power: An evolutionary strategy”. Science 203, S. 330–337.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Feller, W. (1968): An Introduction to probability theory and its applications. Vol. 1. New York, Wiley (2. Auflage).

    Google Scholar 

  • Follesdal, D. (1979): “Some ethical aspects of recombinant DNA research”. Social Science Information 18 (3).

    Google Scholar 

  • Forrester, J. (1971): Urban dynamics. Cambridge, Mass., MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goodin, R. (1978): “Uncertainty as an excuse for cheating our children: The cases of nuclear wastes”. Policy Sciences 10, S. 25–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gunsteren, H. van (1976): The quests for control. London, Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Haavelmo, T. (1970): Some observations on welfare and economic growth, S. 65–75, in: W. A. Eltis; M. Scott; N. Wolfe (Hrsg.): Induction, growth and trade: Essays in honour of Sir Roy Harrod. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heal, G. (1973): The theory of economic planning. Amsterdam, North-Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henry, C. (1974): “Investment decision under uncertainty: The irreversibility effect”. American Economic Review 64, S. 1006–1012.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hesse, M. (1974): The structure of scientific inference. London, Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch, F. (1976): Social limits to growth. Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hohenemser, C.; Kasperson, R.; Kates, R. (1977): “The distrust of nuclear power”. Science 196, S. 25–34.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holdren, J. (1978): “Fusion energy in context: its fitness for the long term”. Science 200, S. 168–180.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hooker, C.A.; Leach, J.J.; MacClennen, E.F. (Hrsg.) (1978):

    Google Scholar 

  • Foundations and applications of decision theory. Vols. 1–2. Dordrecht, Reidel.

    Google Scholar 

  • Intriligator, M. (1971): Mathematical optimization and economic theory. Englewood Cliffs, NJ, Prentice-Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Janis, I.; Mann, L. (1977): Decision making. New York, Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keeney, R.L.; Raiffa, H. (1976): Decisions with multiple objectives. New York, Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly, J. (1978): Arrow impossibility theorems. New York, Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kubo, A.S.; Rose, D.J. (1973): “Disposal of nuclear wastes”. Science 182, S. 1205–1211.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Laudan, L. (1977): Progress and its problems. Berkeley, Calif., University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lehrer, K. (1978): “Consensus and comparison: A theory of social rationality”, in: Hooker et al. ( Hrsg. ), Op. cit.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lindbeck, A. (1976): “Stabilization policy in open economics with endogenous politicians”. American Economic Review: Paper and Proceedings 66, S. 1–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Luce, R.D.; Raiffa, H. (1957): Games and decision. New York, Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mark, R.K.; Stuart-Alexander, D.E. (1977): “Disasters as a necessary part of cost-benefit analysis”. Science 197, S. 11601162.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marsily, G. de; Ledoux, E.; Barbreau, A.; Margat, J. (1977): “Nuclear waste disposal: Can the geologist guarantee isolation”. Science 197, S. 519–527.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McBride, J.P. et al. (1978): “Radiological impact of airborne effluents of coal and nuclear plants”. Science 202, S. 1045–1050.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nelson, R.; Winter, S. (1976): “Technical change in an evolutionary model”. Quarterly Journal of Economics 90, S. 90–118.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parkins, W.E. (1978): “Engineering limitations of fusion power plants”. Science 199, S. 1403–1408.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Popper, K. (1957): The poverty of historicism. London, Routledge and Kegan Paul.

    Google Scholar 

  • Raiffa, H. (1968): Decision analysis. Reading, Mass., Addison-Wesley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rochlin, G.I. (1977): “Nuclear waste disposal: Two social criteria”. Science 195, S. 23–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rosenberg, N. (1976): Perspectives on technology. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Roumasset, J.A. (1976): Rise and risk: Decision-making among low-income farmers. Amsterdam, North-Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen, A.K. (1970): Collective choice and social welfare. San Francisco, Calif., Holden-Day.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen A.K. (1976): “Liberty, unanimity and rights”. Economica 43, S. 217–245.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siegenthaler, U.; Oeschger, H. (1978): “Predicting future atmospheric carbon dioxide levels”. Science 199, S. 388–395.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slovic, P.; Fischhoff, B.; Lichtenstein, S. (1977): “Cognitive processes and social risk taking”. S. 7–36, in: H. Jungermann; G. de Zeeuw (Hrsg.): Decision making and change in human affairs. Dordrecht, Reidel.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stanford Research Institute (1976): The economic and social costs of coal and nuclear electric generation. Stanford, Calif. (Bericht im Auftrag der National Science Foundation).

    Google Scholar 

  • Steinbruner, J.D. (1974): The cybernetic theory of decision. Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swedish Energy Commission (1978): Miljöeffekter och risker vid utnyttjande av energi. Stockholm, Liber Förlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tversky, A.; Kahnemann, D. (1974): “Judgment under uncertainty”. Science 185, S. 1124–1130.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weizsäcker, C.C. von (1971): “Notes on endogenous change of tastes”. Journal of Economic Theory 3, S. 345–372.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Gotthard Bechmann

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1993 Westdeutscher Verlag GmbH, Opladen

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Elster, J. (1993). Risiko, Ungewißheit und Kernkraft. In: Bechmann, G. (eds) Risiko und Gesellschaft. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-90741-7_3

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-90741-7_3

  • Publisher Name: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-531-13029-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-322-90741-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics