Abstract
The purpose of this study is to gauge the impact of volatility risk on TAIEX Option return using regression models for analyzing 12-month cross-sectional option data. Our empirical results indicate that disparate volatility-risk factors have considerable effects on abnormal returns, and expect to create risk premium; specifically, the market risk premium, policy rewards, and fear index can lessen the return of 7.806%, 6.336%, and 1.294% per year, respectively.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Shilling, J.D.: Is there a risk premium puzzle in real estate. Real Estate Econ. 4, 501–525 (2003)
Mehra, R., Prescott, E.: The equity premium: a puzzle. J. Monet. Econ. 2, 145–162 (1985)
Merton, R.C.: On estimating the expected return on the market. J. Financ. Econ. 8, 323–361 (1980)
French, K.R., Schwert, G.W., Stambaugh, R.F.: Expected stock returns and volatility. J. Financ. Econ. 19, 3–29 (1987)
Campbell, J., Hentschel, L.: No news is good news: an asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns. J. Financ. Econ. 31(3), 281–318 (1992)
Glosten, L., Jagannathan, R., Runkle, D.: On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess returns on stocks. J. Finance 5, 1779–1802 (1993)
Conover, M.C., Friday, H.S., Howton, S.H.: An analysis of the cross section of returns for EREITs using a varying-risk beta model. Real Estate Econ. 1, 141–163 (2000)
Fama, E.F., French, K.R.: Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. J. Finance 51(1), 55–84 (1996)
Liow, K.H., Ooi, J.T.L., Gong, Y.: Cross market dynamics in property stock markets-some international evidence. In: European Real Estate Society Conference Paper, pp. 10–13 (2003)
Whaley, R.E.: Understanding VIX. J. Portf. Manag. 35(3), 98–105 (2009). https://doi.org/10.3905/JPM.2009.35.3.098
Xing, Y., Zhang, X., Zhao, R.: What does the individual option volatility smirk tell us about future equity returns? J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 45, 641–662 (2010)
Cremers, M., Weinbaum, D.: Deviations from put-call parity and stock return predictability. J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 45(2), 335–367 (2010)
Ang, A., Hodrick, R.J., Xing, Y., Zhang, X.: The cross-section of volatility and expected returns. J. Finance 61(1), 259–299 (2006)
Fama, E., Macbeth, J.: Risk, return and equilibrium: empirical tests. J. Polit. Econ. 81(3), 607–636 (1973)
Sharp, W.F.: Capital asst prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J. Finance 3, 425–442 (1964)
Lintner, J.: The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risk investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Rev. Econ. Stat. 1, 13–37 (1965)
Mossin, J.: Equilibrium in a capital asset market. Econometrica 34, 768–783 (1966)
Roll, R.: A critique of the asset pricing theory’s tests’ part I: on past and potential testability of the theory. J. Financ. Econ. 4(2), 129–176 (1977)
Officer, R.R.: The variability of the market factor of New York Stock Exchange. J. Bus. 46, 434–453 (1973)
Bawa, V.S., Lindenberg, E.B.: Capital market equilibrium in a mean-lower partial moment framework. J. Financ. Econ. 5, 189–200 (1977)
Sivitanides, P.: A downside risk approach to real estate portfolio structuring. J. Real Estate Portf. Manag. 4, 159–168 (1998)
Stevenson, S.: Emerging markets, downside risk and the asset allocation decision. Emerg. Mark. Rev. 2, 50–66 (2001)
Mandelbrot, B.B.: The variation of certain speculative prices. J. Bus. 36, 392–417 (1963)
Fama, E.F.: The behavior of stock-market prices. J. Bus. 38, 34–105 (1965)
Baillie, R.T., Chung, C.F., Tieslau, M.A.: Analyzing inflation by the fractionally integrated ARFIMA-GARCH model. J. Appl. Econom. 11, 23–40 (1996)
Chou, R.Y.: Volatility persistence and stock valuations: some empirical evidence using GARCH. J. Appl. Econom. 3, 279–294 (1988)
Schwert, G.W.: Why does stock market volatility changes over time? J. Finance 44, 1115–1153 (1989)
Medova, E.A., Smith, R.G.: Does the firm-specific asset volatility process implied by the equity market revert to a constant value. Judge Institute of Management Working Papers (2004)
Karolyi, G.A.: Why stock return volatility really matters? In: Strategic Investor Relations, pp 1–19 (2001)
Christie, A.A.: The stochastic behavior of common stock variances: value, leverage, and interest rate effects. J. Financ. Econ. 10, 407–432 (1982)
Nelson, D.: Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: a new approach. Econometrica 59, 323–370 (1991)
Engle, R.F., Ng, V.: Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility. J. Finance 48, 1749–1778 (1993)
Campbell, J.Y., Lettau, M., Malkiel, B.G., Xu, Y.: Have individual stocks become more volatile? An empirical exploration of idiosyncratic risk. J. Finance 1, 41–43 (2001)
Coval, J.D., Shumway, T.: Expected options returns. J. Finance 56, 983–1009 (2001)
Newey, W.K., West, K.D.: A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 55(3), 703–708 (1987)
Bakshi, G., Madan, D.: Spanning and derivative security valuation. J. Financ. Econ. 55, 205–238 (2000)
Pan, J.: The jump-risk premia implicit in options: evidence from an integrated time-series study. J. Financ. Econ. 63, 3–50 (2002)
Eraker, B., Johannes, M., Polson, N.: The impact of jumps in volatility and returns. J. Finance 58(3), 1269–1300 (2003)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Huang, JC., Hsiao, WI., Chen, JF., Shu, MH., Nguyen, TL., Hsu, BM. (2019). Impact of Volatility Risk on the TAIEX Option Return. In: Wilimowska, Z., Borzemski, L., Świątek, J. (eds) Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2018. ISAT 2018. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 854. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99993-7_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99993-7_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-99992-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-99993-7
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)